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    <title>Fulltime Stats — Articles</title>
    <link>https://fulltimestats.com/article</link>
    <description>Match previews, match reviews and the model's own record, newest first.</description>
    <language>en</language>
    <item>
      <title>The model on 14 November: 36 out of 59</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-11-14</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">recap:2026-11-14</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 15 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Of the 59 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Saturday 14 November 2026, it called the result of 36 (61%). It named the exact scoreline 9 times. Across all 6,430 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 49%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Austria 1–0 Rep. Of Ireland: the model called the exact score</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/austria-vs-rep-of-ireland-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:austria-rep-of-ireland-2026-11-14-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 15 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Austria 1–0 Rep. Of Ireland finished with Austria winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-0, a scoreline it rated at 10%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Portugal 1–4 Denmark: model review</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/portugal-vs-denmark-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:portugal-denmark-2026-11-14-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 15 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Portugal 1–4 Denmark finished with Denmark winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Portugal at 45%, and rated the actual result at 28%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Denmark vs Norway: the model can't split them</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/denmark-vs-norway-2026-11-17#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:denmark-norway-2026-11-17-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 15 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Denmark host Norway in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 27% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Poland vs Sweden: why the model makes it Poland at 49%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/poland-vs-sweden-2026-11-17#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:poland-sweden-2026-11-17-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 15 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Poland here, but not by much: 49% (fair odds 2.04) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wales vs Portugal: why the model makes it Portugal at 52%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/wales-vs-portugal-2026-11-17#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:wales-portugal-2026-11-17-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 15 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Portugal here, but not by much: 52% (fair odds 1.92) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The model on 13 November: 5 out of 13</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-11-13</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">recap:2026-11-13</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Of the 13 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Friday 13 November 2026, it called the result of 5 (38%). It named the exact scoreline once. Across all 6,371 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 49%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Internacional de Bogota 0–2 Santa Fe: model review</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/internacional-de-bogota-vs-santa-fe-2026-11-12#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:internacional-de-bogota-santa-fe-2026-11-14-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Internacional de Bogota 0–2 Santa Fe finished with Santa Fe winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 43%, though it expected 0-1 rather than 0–2.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Kosovo 0–0 Israel: how the model saw it</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/kosovo-vs-israel-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:kosovo-israel-2026-11-14-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Kosovo 0–0 Israel finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Kosovo at 41%, and rated the actual result at 31%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Norway 3–1 Wales: model review</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/norway-vs-wales-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:norway-wales-2026-11-14-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Norway 3–1 Wales finished with Norway winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 51%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 3–1.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama: why the model makes it Vasco da Gama at 43%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/h2h/chapecoense-vs-vasco-da-gama#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:chapecoense-vasco-da-gama-2026-11-14-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Vasco da Gama here, but not by much: 43% (fair odds 2.33) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Club Queretaro vs Monterrey: a genuine coin flip by the numbers</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/club-queretaro-vs-monterrey-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:club-queretaro-monterrey-2026-11-14-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Club Queretaro host Monterrey in a game our model cannot separate: 38% for the home side, 27% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Mirassol vs Atletico Mineiro: why the model makes it Mirassol at 40%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/mirassol-vs-atletico-mineiro-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:mirassol-atletico-mineiro-2026-11-14-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Mirassol here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Germany vs Netherlands: why the model makes it Germany at 48%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/h2h/germany-vs-netherlands#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:germany-netherlands-2026-11-16-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Germany here, but not by much: 48% (fair odds 2.08) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Greece vs Serbia: Greece favoured at 41%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/greece-vs-serbia-2026-11-16#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:greece-serbia-2026-11-16-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Greece here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Switzerland vs Scotland: why the model makes it Switzerland at 63%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/switzerland-vs-scotland-2026-11-16#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:switzerland-scotland-2026-11-16-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Switzerland go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 63%, which is fair odds of 1.59. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Scotland 15% to win outright.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Weekend preview, 14-15 November: Finland the surest call of 87 matches</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/article/weekend-preview-2026-11-14</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">weekend:2026-11-14</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model has a prediction for 87 matches this weekend (14-15 November), across 15 competitions. It is surest about Finland: 77% to beat San Marino, most likely 2-0. 11 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The model on 12 November: 8 out of 11</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-11-12</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">recap:2026-11-12</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Of the 11 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Thursday 12 November 2026, it called the result of 8 (73%). It named the exact scoreline 5 times. Across all 6,358 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 49%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Llaneros 0–0 Chico: model review</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/llaneros-vs-chico-2026-11-12#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:llaneros-chico-2026-11-13-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Llaneros 0–0 Chico finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Llaneros at 51%, and rated the actual result at 29%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Netherlands 7–0 Greece: how the model saw it</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/netherlands-vs-greece-2026-11-13#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:netherlands-greece-2026-11-13-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Netherlands 7–0 Greece finished with Netherlands winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 47%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 7–0.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Slovenia 0–0 Switzerland: model review</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/slovenia-vs-switzerland-2026-11-13#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:slovenia-switzerland-2026-11-13-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Slovenia 0–0 Switzerland finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Switzerland at 47%, and rated the actual result at 29%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Belgium vs Italy: a genuine coin flip by the numbers</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/h2h/belgium-vs-italy#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:belgium-italy-2026-11-15-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Belgium host Italy in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 36% for the visitors.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>France vs Türkiye: France favoured at 61%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/france-vs-turkiye-2026-11-15#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:france-turkiye-2026-11-15-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>France go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 61%, which is fair odds of 1.64. Our published scoreline is 2-1 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Türkiye 18% to win outright.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Spain vs England: Spain favoured at 45%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/spain-vs-england-2026-11-15#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:spain-england-2026-11-15-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to Spain here, but not by much: 45% (fair odds 2.22) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Londrina 2–1 Nautico Recife: the model called the exact score</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/londrina-vs-nautico-recife-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:londrina-nautico-recife-2026-11-11-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Londrina 2–1 Nautico Recife finished with Londrina winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 2-1, a scoreline it rated at 9%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Italy 3–1 France: how the model saw it</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/h2h/france-vs-italy#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:italy-france-2026-11-12-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Italy 3–1 France finished with Italy winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to France at 37%, and rated the actual result at 35%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Türkiye 1–2 Belgium: the model called the exact score</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/turkiye-vs-belgium-2026-11-12#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:turkiye-belgium-2026-11-12-report</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Türkiye 1–2 Belgium finished with Belgium winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-2, a scoreline it rated at 10%.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Deportivo Pasto vs Junior: the model can't split them</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/deportivo-pasto-vs-junior-2026-11-12#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:deportivo-pasto-junior-2026-11-12-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Deportivo Pasto host Junior in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>São Bernardo vs Athletic Club MG: why the model makes it São Bernardo at 52%</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/sao-bernardo-vs-athletic-club-mg-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:sao-bernardo-athletic-club-mg-2026-11-12-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Our model leans to São Bernardo here, but not by much: 52% (fair odds 1.92) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland: a genuine coin flip by the numbers</title>
      <link>https://fulltimestats.com/match/austria-vs-rep-of-ireland-2026-11-14#match-writeup</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">match:austria-rep-of-ireland-2026-11-14-preview</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Austria host Rep. Of Ireland in a game our model cannot separate: 38% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 33% for the visitors.</description>
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