2 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

São Bernardo vs CRB Serie B prediction & result

Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo
Referee: Matheus De Moraes Silva, Brazil
Full time3 – 1

Final score: São Bernardo 3-1 CRB.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% São Bernardo, 27% draw, 28% CRB — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

São Bernardo at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

São Bernardo99%Draw1%CRB0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Helder Macielout: Marcão Silva
31'
51'
⚽ Thiago Fernandes Rodriguesassist: Dadá Belmonte
⚽Jemersonassist: Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque
59'
🔁Foguinhoout: Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
60'
🔁Fabrício Danielout: Lucas Fernandes
60'
🔁Rodrigo Ferreiraout: Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães
60'
⚽Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
64'
76'
Matheus Simonete Bressanelli
76'
🔁Reverson Paivaout: Lucas Lovat
76'
🔁Daniel Sampaio Simõesout: Vinicius Barata
🔁Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerqueout: Romisson
76'
⚽Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopesassist: Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
81'
83'
🔁 Thiago Fernandes Rodriguesout: Joao Batista da Cruz Santos Neto
Alex Alves
87'
89'
🔁Dadá Belmonteout: Ygor Catatau
89'
🔁Pedro Castroout: Geovane
Vinicius Bergantin
90+4'

Match stats — São Bernardo vs CRB

43%Possession57%
12Shots26
5On target8
5Corners7

Line-ups

São Bernardo 3-4-2-1
  • 1Alex AlvesG
  • 3HélderD
  • 35JemersonD
  • 90LuizãoD
  • 2Rodrigo FerreiraM
  • 8FoguinhoM
  • 26EduardoM
  • 33Mário SérgioM
  • 10Fabrício DanielM
  • 29PedrinhoM
  • 9Felipe GarciaF
Substitutes
  • 27EchaporãF
  • 42HyoranM
  • 31Lucas FernandesM
  • 14Lucas LimaM
  • 77MarcãoM
  • 6ParáD
  • 11Pedro VitorF
  • 17RomissonM
  • 21Hugo SanchesD
Coach: Vinícius Bergantin
CRB 4-1-4-1
  • 1Vitor CaetanoG
  • 2KevinD
  • 22BressanD
  • 33LynconD
  • 6ReversonD
  • 21Pedro CastroM
  • 17ThiaguinhoM
  • 8CrystopherM
  • 10DanielM
  • 97Dadá BelmonteM
  • 28MikaelF
Substitutes
  • 26EstevãoM
  • 12MatheusG
  • 34RuyD
  • 36Lucas LovatD
  • 50LuizãoM
  • 20Vinicius BarataF
  • 27Fábio AlemãoD
  • 9João NetoF
  • 18GeovaneM
Coach: Fábio Matias

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11São Bernardo381411135444+1053
7CRB38178135852+659

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: São Bernardo vs CRB

  • 7 June 2026CRB 2–3 São BernardoSerie B

Leading scorers: São Bernardo and CRB

São Bernardo

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 54 league goals as a side.

CRB

GoalsAssists

  • Mikael174
  • Crystopher78

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.