Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Amal Tiznit 2-5 Difaa EL Jadida.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Amal Tiznit, 28% draw, 30% Difaa EL Jadida — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Amal Tiznit at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida
Amal Tiznit
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to FUS Rabat2 October 2026
- L1-3Ittihad Tanger24 September 2026
Difaa EL Jadida
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Wydad AC3 October 2026
- L2-6CODM Meknès26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Difaa EL Jadida | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida
- 17 May 2026Amal Tiznit 0–3 Difaa EL JadidaCup
The result against the call
Difaa EL Jadida won 5–2 at Amal Tiznit. The model had leaned towards a win for Amal Tiznit at 42% and given a win for Difaa EL Jadida 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Ennakouss (penalty) 10' for Difaa EL Jadida, A. Ennakouss 34' for Difaa EL Jadida, Z. Essalhi 36' for Amal Tiznit, A. Ennakouss 41' for Difaa EL Jadida, A. Ennakouss 49' for Difaa EL Jadida, Y. Zraa 79' for Amal Tiznit, I. Lo 80' for Difaa EL Jadida.
How the call on Amal Tiznit v Difaa EL Jadida has moved
First published on 5 Oct at 40% / 30% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Amal Tiznit's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Amal Tiznit win42%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Difaa EL Jadida win30%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.