10 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Premier League prediction & result

Stadion Traktor, Minsk
Full time0 – 1

Final score: FC Minsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% FC Minsk, 24% draw, 24% Torpedo Zhodino — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Minsk at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Minsk0%Draw6%Torpedo Zhodino94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Ilya Aleksievichout: Felix Christanval Abena
31'
Matar Dieye
52'
🔁Honore Gomisout: Gleb·Zherder
67'
🔁Matar Dieyeout: Aleksandr Makas
67'
68'
🔁Dmitriy Yusovout: Timofey Sharkovskiy
68'
🔁Vladislav Melkoout: Grigoriy Martyanov
75'
⚽Aleksandr Frantsuzov (pen)
80'
Timofey Sharkovskiy
🔁Vladislav Yatskevichout: Arseni Migdalenok
80'
🔁Konstantin Kuchinskiyout: V. Dikhtievsky
80'
87'
Danila Zhulpa
89'
🔁Aleksandr Lomovitskiyout: Vladislav Nalivayko
Gregoy Abdul
90+1'
90+2'
🔁Aleksandr Frantsuzovout: Maxim Gaevoy

Match stats — FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

49%Possession51%
8Shots7
4On target5
3Corners2

Line-ups

FC Minsk 3-4-3
  • 30A. GutorG
  • 88G. AbdulD
  • 4R. KhadarkevichD
  • 3A. SokolD
  • 19K. KuchinskiyM
  • 13I. AleksievichM
  • 29I. DubinetsM
  • 15V. YatskevichM
  • 7H. GomisF
  • 9M. DieyeF
  • 80A. KsenofontovF
Substitutes
  • 22A. MakasF
  • 10G. ZherdevM
  • 8A. MigdalenokM
  • 24S. MatusevichM
  • 23A. TurichM
  • 6F. AbenaM
  • 79I. SviridenkoD
  • 33K. MalitskiyD
  • 2V. DikhtievskiyD
Coach: A. Chelyadinskiy
Torpedo Zhodino 3-5-2
  • 25T. YurasovG
  • 3Yevhen ChagovetsD
  • 13A. ZaleskiyD
  • 96V. MelkoD
  • 68D. ZhulpaM
  • 7A. BykovM
  • 30V. PobudeyM
  • 6K. PremudrovM
  • 28D. YusovM
  • 89A. FrantsuzovF
  • 11A. LomovitskiyF
Substitutes
  • 4V. ManaevD
  • 47V. NalivaykoF
  • 90N. MatusevichF
  • 14M. LadutkoM
  • 99M. MaslennikovG
  • 20G. MartjanovD
  • 27M. GaevoyM
  • 9G. PetrosyanF
  • 10T. SharkovskiyM
Coach: Denis Karolik

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9FC Minsk28105133542-735
8Torpedo Zhodino28106123536-136

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

  • 23 May 2026Torpedo Zhodino 3–0 FC MinskPremier League
  • 2 November 2025Torpedo Zhodino 0–1 FC MinskPremier League
  • 14 June 2025FC Minsk 1–5 Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League
  • 23 March 2025Torpedo Zhodino 2–0 FC MinskFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 January 2025Torpedo Zhodino 1–0 FC MinskFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 September 2024Torpedo Zhodino 2–2 FC MinskPremier League

Leading scorers: FC Minsk and Torpedo Zhodino

FC Minsk

GoalsAssists

  • A. Sokol10

Torpedo Zhodino

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 35 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Torpedo Zhodino won 1–0 at FC Minsk. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Minsk at 52% and given a win for Torpedo Zhodino 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Aleksandr Frantsuzov (penalty) 75' for Torpedo Zhodino.

How the call on FC Minsk v Torpedo Zhodino has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 52% / 24% / 24%: the biggest move is FC Minsk's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. FC Minsk win52%▲ +5
  2. Draw24%▼ −3
  3. Torpedo Zhodino win24%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.