America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC Serie B prediction & result
Final score: America Mineiro 0-1 Fortaleza EC.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% America Mineiro, 27% draw, 51% Fortaleza EC — fair odds of 4.55, 3.70 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Fortaleza EC at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC
Line-ups
- 19WilliamG
- 31Fábio AlmeidaD
- 4Rafael BarcelosD
- 3L. SosaD
- 25T. OstchegaD
- 88BarretoM
- 55Otavio GoncalvesM
- 20Paulo VictorM
- 77M. SegoviaM
- 7Guilherme ParedeM
- 9WillianF
- 27CássioG
- 45Ricardo SilvaD
- 26ManoelD
- 93J. JiménezM
- 8Felipe AmaralM
- 71Cristian Do Espirito Santo RodriguesD
- 32FilipeD
- 30L. MontesD
- 99Marcelo MacolaF
- 1João RicardoG
- 22MaíltonD
- 3Lucas GazalD
- 6T. CardonaD
- 13Maurício Júnior Lima RodriguesD
- 88Lucas SashaM
- 5PierreM
- 75RodriguinhoM
- 11VitinhoF
- 17Nathan FogaçaF
- 32Luiz FernandoF
- 10Lucas CrispimM
- 9J. MiritelloF
- 23NerisD
- 28PaulinhoD
- 16Pedro HenriqueF
- 29RodrigoM
- 8RonaldM
- 37Ryan GustavoM
- 25Vinícius SilvestreG
Form going into America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Atletico Goianiense3 October 2026
Fortaleza EC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Nautico Recife3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | America Mineiro | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 29 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 65 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC
- 16 June 2026Fortaleza EC 0–3 America MineiroSerie B
- 8 October 2023Fortaleza EC 3–2 America MineiroSerie A
- 31 August 2023Fortaleza EC 2–1 America MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana
- 24 August 2023America Mineiro 1–3 Fortaleza ECCONMEBOL Sudamericana
- 20 May 2023America Mineiro 2–1 Fortaleza ECSerie A
- 15 October 2022America Mineiro 1–2 Fortaleza ECSerie A
Leading scorers: America Mineiro and Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Fortaleza EC
GoalsAssists
- Maílton103
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Fortaleza EC won 1–0 at America Mineiro. The model had made a win for Fortaleza EC its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Lucas Sasha 3' for Fortaleza EC.