7 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP Serie B prediction & result

Ponta Grossa
Referee: Paulo Belence Alves Dos Prazeres Filho
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Operario-PR, 26% draw, 26% Botafogo SP — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Operario-PR at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Operario-PR0%Draw6%Botafogo SP94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Vinícius Diniz Dall Antoniaassist: Aylon
1'
36'
Leandro Maciel
44'
⚽Patrick Brey
45+2'
Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva
Hildeberto Pereira
45+5'
🔁Paraibaout: Miranda
45'
🔁Aylonout: Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
45'
54'
⚽Morelliassist: Patrick Brey
🔁Gabriel Feliciano da Silvaout: Vinicius Alessandro Mingotti
56'
🔁Matheus Trindadeout: Juan Zuluaga
62'
66'
🔁Rafael Gavaout: Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
66'
🔁Leandro Macielout: Matheus Sales
70'
🔁Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silvaout: Hebert Willian Badaro Oliveira
70'
🔁Hygorout: Arthur Caíke
🔁Caio Dantasout: Pedrinho
71'
87'
🔁Wesley Santosout: José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
Juan Zuluaga
89'
Joseph
90'
Jose Abad Cuenu Rodriguez
90+1'
90+1'
Patrick Brey

Match stats — Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP

55%Possession45%
11Shots14
3On target6
7Corners4

Line-ups

Operario-PR 4-1-4-1
  • 33VagnerG
  • 2Mikael DokaD
  • 22J. CuenúD
  • 43JosephD
  • 27Gabriel FelicianoD
  • 39Matheus TrindadeM
  • 14Hildeberto PereiraM
  • 20Vinícius DinizM
  • 88Neto ParaíbaM
  • 11AylonM
  • 99Caio DantasF
Substitutes
  • 1Elias Martello CurzelG
  • 4KlausD
  • 9Vinícius MingottiF
  • 21BrennoM
  • 5ÍndioM
  • 30Pedro VilhenaM
  • 8J. ZuluagaM
  • 26MaguinhoD
  • 32CharlesM
Coach: Luizinho Lopes
Botafogo SP 3-4-1-2
  • 1Victor SouzaG
  • 2JonathanD
  • 4VilarD
  • 27DarlanD
  • 22Gabriel InocêncioM
  • 8Everton MorelliM
  • 5L. MacielM
  • 6Patrick BreyM
  • 10Rafael GavaM
  • 9HygorF
  • 23Wesley Pinheiro SantosF
Substitutes
  • 18Arthur CaíkeF
  • 16Matheus SalesM
  • 28Marco AntônioM
  • 12JordanG
  • 26Felipe VieiraD
  • 31Pedro HenriqueD
  • 30Zé HugoF
  • 29Thiago HenriqueM
  • 7KelvinF
Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Form going into Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP

Operario-PR

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Juventude2 October 2026

Botafogo SP

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Vila Nova3 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Operario-PR38169135150+157
12Botafogo SP38149154541+451

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP

  • 14 June 2026Botafogo SP 2–1 Operario-PRSerie B
  • 18 September 2025Botafogo SP 1–1 Operario-PRSerie B
  • 17 May 2025Operario-PR 3–0 Botafogo SPSerie B
  • 13 October 2024Botafogo SP 0–0 Operario-PRSerie B
  • 22 June 2024Operario-PR 0–1 Botafogo SPSerie B
  • 29 January 2021Botafogo SP 0–1 Operario-PRSerie B

Leading scorers: Operario-PR and Botafogo SP

Operario-PR

GoalsAssists

  • Boschilia134
  • Vinícius Diniz71

Botafogo SP

GoalsAssists

  • Hygor110
  • Everton Morelli104

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Botafogo SP won 2–1 at Operario-PR. The model had leaned towards a win for Operario-PR at 48% and given a win for Botafogo SP 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia 1' for Operario-PR, Patrick Brey 44' for Botafogo SP, Morelli 54' for Botafogo SP. Sent off: Jose Abad Cuenu Rodriguez (Operario-PR) 90+1'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.