2 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Dundalk vs Bohemians Premier Division prediction & result

Oriel Park, Dundalk
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Dundalk 1-2 Bohemians.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Dundalk, 27% draw, 40% Bohemians — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bohemians at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dundalk0%Draw6%Bohemians94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
⚽Colm Whelan (pen)
28'
Connor Parsons
Harvey Warren
49'
🔁Harvey Warrenout: Egor Vassenin
54'
54'
Senan Mullen
62'
🔁Harry Patrick Vaughanout: Z. Myers
62'
🔁Senan Mullenout: Sadou Diallo
62'
🔁Colm Whelanout: James Taylor
67'
⚽Ross Tierneyassist: Patrick Hickey
🔁leonardo gaxhaout: Declan McDaid
72'
🔁Aodh Dervinout: Norman Garbett
72'
🔁Trevor Clarkeout: Cian dillon
72'
77'
🔁Connor Parsonsout: Dayle Rooney
81'
🔁Darragh Powerout: Niall Morahan
🔁ronan teahanout: Harry Groome
83'
⚽Daryl Horgan (pen)
88'
89'
cian byrne

Match stats — Dundalk vs Bohemians

48%Possession52%
11Shots12
5On target3
2Corners4

Line-ups

Dundalk 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. MinogueG
  • 5H. WarrenD
  • 4M. AnimasahunD
  • 44T. GrivostiD
  • 3B. BurnsD
  • 18K. BuckleyM
  • 6A. DervinM
  • 15T. ClarkeM
  • 11R. TeahanM
  • 7D. HorganM
  • 10Leonardo GaxhaF
Substitutes
  • 20P. CherrieG
  • 24R. CornwallD
  • 9C. DillonF
  • 14Norman GarbettM
  • 8H. GroomeM
  • 27D. McDaidM
  • 12L. MulliganD
  • 16E. VasseninD
  • 23A. M. KeoghM
Coach: C. Kilduff
Bohemians 4-2-3-1
  • 25P. WaltersG
  • 16D. PowerD
  • 12P. HickeyD
  • 24C. ByrneD
  • 15S. MullenD
  • 10D. DevoyM
  • 6J. FloresM
  • 26R. TierneyM
  • 8H. VaughanM
  • 7C. ParsonsM
  • 9C. WhelanF
Substitutes
  • 11D. RooneyF
  • 4N. MorahanM
  • 17A. McDonnellM
  • 41P. MaddenF
  • 18D. James-TaylorF
  • 5S. DialloM
  • 1K. ChorążkaG
  • 3R. BurkeD
  • 23Zane MyersD
Coach: A. Reynolds

Form going into Dundalk vs Bohemians

Dundalk

Premier Division

  • L2-3Shelbourne18 September 2026

Bohemians

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Drogheda United18 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Galway United11 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Shamrock Rovers4 September 2026
  • L2-3away to FC Midtjylland13 August 2026
  • L0-2FC Midtjylland6 August 2026

What these results say

  • Bohemians conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Bohemians scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Bohemians had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Dundalk361112135559-445
2Bohemians3619896344+1965

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dundalk vs Bohemians

  • 19 June 2026Bohemians 1–2 DundalkPremier Division
  • 8 May 2026Dundalk 1–3 BohemiansPremier Division
  • 20 March 2026Bohemians 1–1 DundalkPremier Division
  • 27 September 2024Dundalk 0–2 BohemiansPremier Division
  • 26 July 2024Bohemians 1–1 DundalkPremier Division

Leading scorers: Dundalk and Bohemians

Dundalk

GoalsAssists

  • D. Horgan1210
  • G. Arubi73

Bohemians

GoalsAssists

  • C. Whelan136
  • R. Tierney113

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bohemians won 2–1 at Dundalk. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Bohemians at 40%. The goals: Colm Whelan (penalty) 26' for Bohemians, Ross Tierney 67' for Bohemians, Daryl Horgan (penalty) 88' for Dundalk. Sent off: cian byrne (Bohemians) 89'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.