25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Galway United vs Shelbourne Premier Division prediction & result

Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Referee: Robert Hennessy
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Galway United 1-1 Shelbourne.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Galway United, 30% draw, 32% Shelbourne — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Galway United at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Galway United4%Draw93%Shelbourne3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Wasiri Williamsout: Al Amin Kazeem
10'
45+1'
🔁Sean Mooreout: Sean Boyd
⚽Jimmy Keohane (pen)
45+5'
🔁Al Amin Kazeemout: francely lomboto
53'
58'
⚽Ademipo Odubekoassist: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
60'
Sam Bone
65'
🔁Sam Boneout: Alistair Coote
77'
🔁Sean Boydout: John Martin
🔁Stephen Walshout: Frantz Pierrot
82'
Aaron Bolger
83'
Anthony O'Connor
90+2'

Match stats — Galway United vs Shelbourne

43%Possession57%
10Shots11
2On target3
4Corners4

Line-ups

Galway United 3-4-1-2
  • 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
  • 15O. WilliamsD
  • 2A. O'ConnorD
  • 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
  • 3Connor BarrattM
  • 8A. BolgerM
  • 10D. HurleyM
  • 4J. KeohaneM
  • 20L. DevittM
  • 11K. TwardekF
  • 7S. WalshF
Substitutes
  • 17Junior ThiamM
  • 28J. MorahanD
  • 21D. ConnollyF
  • 32Vincent AngeliniG
  • 54C. WhittakerM
  • 9F. LombotoF
  • 30A. KazeemD
  • 23F. PierrotF
Coach: John Caulfield
Shelbourne 3-4-3
  • 31C. WalshG
  • 15S. BoneD
  • 16O. CaseyD
  • 4K. LedwidgeD
  • 25M. MbengM
  • 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
  • 23K. McInroyM
  • 18James Barry NorrisM
  • 22S. MooreF
  • 11M. OdubekoF
  • 27E. CaffreyF
Substitutes
  • 36W. JarvisM
  • 9S. BoydF
  • 10J. MartinF
  • 44Daniel RingF
  • 14A. CooteM
  • 2S. GannonD
  • 56J. WunaF
  • 13M. JohnsonG
Coach: J. Russell

Form going into Galway United vs Shelbourne

Galway United

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Derry City18 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Sligo Rovers14 September 2026
  • L2-3Bohemians11 September 2026

Shelbourne

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Dundalk18 September 2026
  • L1-2Drogheda United14 September 2026
  • L0-1Derry City11 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Shamrock Rovers4 September 2026
  • D2-2Ajax13 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Galway United361012144653-742
4Shelbourne361213115250+249

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Galway United vs Shelbourne

  • 28 August 2026Galway United 1–1 ShelbournePremier Division
  • 29 May 2026Shelbourne 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
  • 20 February 2026Shelbourne 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
  • 7 September 2025Shelbourne 1–0 Galway UnitedPremier Division
  • 27 June 2025Galway United 1–1 ShelbournePremier Division

Leading scorers: Galway United and Shelbourne

Galway United

GoalsAssists

  • K. Twardek86
  • J. Keohane73

Shelbourne

GoalsAssists

  • H. Wood85
  • D. Kelly84
  • J. Martin82

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Galway United and Shelbourne drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Galway United at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jimmy Keohane (penalty) 45+5' for Galway United, Ademipo Odubeko 58' for Shelbourne.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.