Galway United vs Shelbourne Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Galway United 1-1 Shelbourne.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Galway United, 30% draw, 32% Shelbourne — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Galway United at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Galway United vs Shelbourne
Line-ups
- 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
- 15O. WilliamsD
- 2A. O'ConnorD
- 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
- 3Connor BarrattM
- 8A. BolgerM
- 10D. HurleyM
- 4J. KeohaneM
- 20L. DevittM
- 11K. TwardekF
- 7S. WalshF
- 17Junior ThiamM
- 28J. MorahanD
- 21D. ConnollyF
- 32Vincent AngeliniG
- 54C. WhittakerM
- 9F. LombotoF
- 30A. KazeemD
- 23F. PierrotF
- 31C. WalshG
- 15S. BoneD
- 16O. CaseyD
- 4K. LedwidgeD
- 25M. MbengM
- 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
- 23K. McInroyM
- 18James Barry NorrisM
- 22S. MooreF
- 11M. OdubekoF
- 27E. CaffreyF
- 36W. JarvisM
- 9S. BoydF
- 10J. MartinF
- 44Daniel RingF
- 14A. CooteM
- 2S. GannonD
- 56J. WunaF
- 13M. JohnsonG
Form going into Galway United vs Shelbourne
Galway United
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Derry City18 September 2026
- W3-1away to Sligo Rovers14 September 2026
- L2-3Bohemians11 September 2026
Shelbourne
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Dundalk18 September 2026
- L1-2Drogheda United14 September 2026
- L0-1Derry City11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Shamrock Rovers4 September 2026
- D2-2Ajax13 August 2026
What these results say
- Shelbourne failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Shelbourne conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Galway United vs Shelbourne
- 28 August 2026Galway United 1–1 ShelbournePremier Division
- 29 May 2026Shelbourne 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 20 February 2026Shelbourne 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 7 September 2025Shelbourne 1–0 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 27 June 2025Galway United 1–1 ShelbournePremier Division
Leading scorers: Galway United and Shelbourne
Galway United
GoalsAssists
- K. Twardek86
- J. Keohane73
Shelbourne
GoalsAssists
- H. Wood85
- D. Kelly84
- J. Martin82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galway United and Shelbourne drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Galway United at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jimmy Keohane (penalty) 45+5' for Galway United, Ademipo Odubeko 58' for Shelbourne.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.