FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: FC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Dallas, 28% draw, 35% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Dallas at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
Line-ups
- 40J. SiroisG
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 32N. NorrisD
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 55KaickM
- 12C. CappisM
- 18S. MooreM
- 21J. ValienteM
- 10S. MorenoM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 33C. HolstadM
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 7D. JobM
- 11A. JulioF
- 16Nicholas SimmondsF
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 1H. LlorisG
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 91N. TafariD
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 4E. SeguraM
- 23Y. CheberkoM
- 9A. SiebF
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 19T. BoydF
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 47Marius AiyeneroF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 90Tommy MihalicF
- 49C. KosakoffF
- 6Igor JesusM
- 44C. DiazD
- 20S. VasquezM
Form going into FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Austin20 September 2026
- W2-1Portland Timbers13 September 2026
- W2-1away to Minnesota United FC10 September 2026
- W4-3Sporting Kansas City6 September 2026
- D3-3away to St. Louis City30 August 2026
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to San Jose Earthquakes19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Sporting Kansas City13 September 2026
- W2-0New York Red Bulls10 September 2026
- D2-2away to Real Salt Lake6 September 2026
- D0-0away to DC United29 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Dallas went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Dallas scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Dallas conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
- 8 March 2026Los Angeles FC 1–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 24 August 2025FC Dallas 1–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 13 July 2025Los Angeles FC 2–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 22 September 2024FC Dallas 3–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 2 June 2024Los Angeles FC 1–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
GoalsAssists
- P. Musa225
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Dallas beat Los Angeles FC 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Dallas its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Osaze Urhoghide 34' for FC Dallas.
How the call on FC Dallas v Los Angeles FC has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 37% / 28% / 35%: the biggest move is Los Angeles FC's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- FC Dallas win37%▼ −7
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Los Angeles FC win35%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.