25 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion Poznan
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Lech Poznan 0-0 Cracovia Krakow.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Lech Poznan, 20% draw, 26% Cracovia Krakow — fair odds of 1.85, 5.00 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Lech Poznan at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
🔁K. Knapout: B. Selan
49'
A. Hasic
M. Ishak
57'
🔁F. Jagielloout: R. Murawski
64'
🔁R. Gumnyout: J. Pereira
64'
🔁L. Bengtssonout: L. Palma
65'
66'
🔁M. Minchevout: V. Burlet
66'
🔁K. Zahiroleslamout: F. Marchwinski
🔁P. Rodriguezout: Y. Agnero
75'
🔁P. Walemarkout: A. Sayyadmanesh
82'
86'
M. Klich
88'
F. Marchwinski
90+1'
🔁M. Klichout: M. Praszelik
90+1'
🔁A. Hasicout: D. Pila

Match stats — Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow

58%Possession42%
18Shots9
7On target1
9Corners6
0.77xG0.88

Goals against chances

Lech Poznan0 from 0.77 xGless than the chances were worth
Cracovia Krakow0 from 0.88 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
  • 1Mateusz LisG
  • 20Robert GumnyD
  • 27Wojciech MońkaD
  • 59Terry YegbeD
  • 15Michal GurgulD
  • 24Filip JagiełłoM
  • 43Antoni KozubalM
  • 10Patrik WålemarkM
  • 21Pablo RodríguezM
  • 14Leo BengtssonM
  • 9Mikael IshakF
Substitutes
  • 2Joel PereiraD
  • 22Radosław MurawskiM
  • 77Luis PalmaM
  • 7Yannick AgneroF
  • 17Allahyar SayyadmaneshM
  • 33Mateusz PruchniewskiG
  • 72Mateusz SkrzypczakD
  • 4João MoutinhoD
  • 11Daniel HåkansM
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Cracovia Krakow 4-3-3
  • 13Sebastian MadejskiG
  • 25Otar KakabadzeD
  • 4Gustav HenrikssonD
  • 61Brahim TraoréD
  • 39Mauro PerkovićD
  • 43Mateusz KlichM
  • 6Amir Al-AmmariM
  • 20Karol KnapM
  • 14Ajdin HasićF
  • 18Kahveh ZahiroleslamF
  • 17Martin MinchevF
Substitutes
  • 5Beno SelanM
  • 28Vincent BurletD
  • 10Filip MarchwińskiM
  • 79Dominik PiłaD
  • 7Mateusz PraszelikM
  • 77Jakub ChrapustaG
  • 23Henrich RavasG
  • 15Kamil GlikD
  • 70Dijon KameriM
Coach: Bartosz Grzelak

Form going into Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow

Lech Poznan

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1away to Aarhus21 July 2026

Cracovia Krakow

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Lech Poznan1310213413+2132
15Cracovia Krakow143381623-712

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow

  • 7 December 2025Cracovia Krakow 2–2 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
  • 18 July 2025Lech Poznan 1–4 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 21 April 2025Lech Poznan 2–1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 19 October 2024Cracovia Krakow 0–2 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
  • 28 April 2024Lech Poznan 0–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 28 October 2023Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Lech Poznan and Cracovia Krakow

Lech Poznan

GoalsAssists

  • P. Wålemark73
  • Pablo Rodríguez67
  • A. Sayyadmanesh50

Cracovia Krakow

GoalsAssists

  • A. Hasić72

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lech Poznan and Cracovia Krakow drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Lech Poznan at 54% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.77–0.88.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.