Leon vs Atlas Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Leon 2-3 Atlas.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Leon, 27% draw, 32% Atlas — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Leon at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Leon vs Atlas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23O. GarciaG
- 7I. MorenoD
- 3J. GuevaraD
- 5S. VegasD
- 26S. ReyesD
- 29I. RodriguezM
- 22S. SantosM
- 20R. EcheverriaM
- 13D. ArcilaM
- 11I. DiazM
- 27D. CambindoF
- 1Garcia JordanG
- 16J. CortizoM
- 18E. GuerraM
- 35L. ValadezM
- 185C. Mora
- 4B. ColulaD
- 6F. Beltran Cruz
- 25P. BellonD
- 19A. AlvaradoF
- 22A. SanchezG
- 2Gustavo FerrareisD
- 28M. CapassoD
- 21R. SchlegelD
- 5J. RodriguezD
- 26A. RochaM
- 6E. ZaldivarM
- 11DukM
- 58A. GonzalezM
- 23S. HernandezM
- 8R. MmaeeF
- 181L. HernandezG
- 16M. ValenzuelaD
- 4A. MoraD
- 15P. RamirezD
- 203J. MartinF
- 13G. AguirreD
- 17J. LozanoD
- 10L. EstevesM
- 27V. H. Rios De AlbaM
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Leon vs Atlas
- 5 April 2026Leon 2–0 AtlasLiga MX
- 23 October 2025Atlas 2–0 LeonLiga MX
- 19 January 2025Atlas 1–2 LeonLiga MX
- 24 October 2024Leon 0–0 AtlasLiga MX
- 18 February 2024Atlas 0–1 LeonLiga MX
Leading scorers: Leon and Atlas
Leon
GoalsAssists
- J. Alvarado61
Atlas
GoalsAssists
- F. Monzón51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.