Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Mjallby AIF 1-2 Slovan Bratislava.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Mjallby AIF, 22% draw, 24% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Slovan Bratislava v Mjallby AIF, 11 Aug →
Slovan Bratislava went through 4–1 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Mjallby AIF at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 13R. WallinderG
- 5A. IqbalD
- 2L. SvanbergD
- 24T. PetterssonD
- 14V. GranathM
- 22J. GustavssonM
- 7V. GustafsonM
- 17E. StroudM
- 10J. KjaerF
- 23A. SamuelsenF
- 18J. BergstromF
- 35A. LundinG
- 3M. AgnarssonM
- 4A. NorenD
- 9A. YoussefM
- 15B. Bang-KittilsenF
- 19A. MannehF
- 25M. NielsenD
- 26I. HoffmannD
- 27L. TidstrandD
- 71D. TakacG
- 28C. BlackmanD
- 12K. BajricD
- 15S. MarkovicD
- 57S. CruzD
- 8A. GajdosM
- 3P. PokornyM
- 70C. Martinez
- 29A. MarosM
- 9M. KukharevychF
- 14A. YirajangM
- 1A. PopovicG
- 44M. MacikG
- 2S. KozlovskyD
- 5R. Ibrahim
- 6K. WimmerD
- 19M. KiangaF
- 20A. MustaficM
- 21S. CamaraF
- 24M. TomaskoF
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC28 July 2026
- L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
- W3-0Lincoln Red Imps FC21 July 2026
- D0-0Vasteras SK FK17 July 2026
Slovan Bratislava
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026
- W2-0away to FC Iberia 199921 July 2026
What these results say
- Mjallby AIF failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Mjallby AIF kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slovan Bratislava won 2–1 at Mjallby AIF. The model had leaned towards a win for Mjallby AIF at 54% and given a win for Slovan Bratislava 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Stroud (penalty) 61' for Mjallby AIF, S. Camara 78' for Slovan Bratislava, M. Kianga 90' for Slovan Bratislava.