Sweden vs Romania UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Sweden 2-1 Romania.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Sweden, 29% draw, 39% Romania — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Nations League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Romania at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sweden vs Romania
Line-ups
- 12V. JohanssonG
- 6E. HolmD
- 15C. StarfeltD
- 3V. LindelöfD
- 4E. StroudD
- 21A. BernhardssonM
- 7L. BergvallM
- 18Y. AyariM
- 19S. NanasiM
- 17V. GyökeresF
- 9A. IsakF
- 23M. EllborgG
- 14H. EkdalD
- 5G. GudmundssonD
- 16J. KarlströmM
- 20H. LarssonM
- 2J. MellbergD
- 10B. NygrenF
- 22E. SkoglundD
- 8D. SvenssonD
- 1I. RaduG
- 4A. CoubișD
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 5V. GhițăD
- 2A. RațiuM
- 6T. BăluțăM
- 18R. MarinM
- 11N. BancuM
- 14I. HagiM
- 20D. ManF
- 9L. MunteanuF
- 19F. TănaseM
- 10N. StanciuM
- 17V. ScreciuM
- 8D. OlaruM
- 13V. MihăilăF
- 21M. IlieD
- 12O. HindrichG
- 23L. EissatD
- 22V. DragomirM
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Romania | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sweden vs Romania
- 15 November 2019Romania 0–2 SwedenEuro Championship
- 23 March 2019Sweden 2–1 RomaniaEuro Championship
- 27 March 2018Romania 1–0 SwedenFriendlies
Leading scorers: Sweden and Romania
Sweden
GoalsAssists
- V. Gyökeres60
Romania
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sweden beat Romania 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Romania at 39% and given a win for Sweden 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Alexander Isak 20' for Sweden, Dennis Man 29' for Romania, Viktor Gyökeres 43' for Sweden.