Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Vancouver Whitecaps, 24% draw, 30% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Vancouver Whitecaps at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Yohei TakaokaG
- 18Édier OcampoD
- 33Tristan BlackmonD
- 2Mathías LabordaD
- 28Tate JohnsonD
- 8Oliver LarrazM
- 20Andrés CubasM
- 59Jeevan BadwalM
- 13Thomas MüllerM
- 25Ryan GauldM
- 24Brian WhiteF
- 11Emmanuel SabbiF
- 7Cheick Tidiane SabalyF
- 6Ralph PrisoM
- 32Isaac BoehmerG
- 3Sam AdekugbeD
- 41Nikola DjordjevicD
- 43Trevor WrightD
- 26Jean-Claude NgandoM
- 19Rayan ElloumiF
- 1Hugo LlorisG
- 24Ryan HollingsheadD
- 5Ryan PorteousD
- 33Aaron LongD
- 23Yevhen CheberkoD
- 66Mathieu ChoinièreM
- 4Eddie SeguraM
- 11Timothy TillmanM
- 18Jacob ShaffelburgF
- 7Son Heung-minF
- 99Denis BouangaF
- 8Mark DelgadoM
- 30David Martínez MoralesF
- 12Thomas HasalG
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 21Ryan RaposoM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 19Tyler BoydF
- 17Jeremy EbobisseF
Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
- W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026
- W3-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
- 23 November 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 30 June 2025Los Angeles FC 0–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 11 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 9 November 2024Los Angeles FC 1–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 4 November 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White202
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vancouver Whitecaps at 46% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Son Heung-Min 37' for Los Angeles FC, T. Muller (penalty) 76' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 2.19–0.26.