Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Vila Nova 0-0 Cuiaba.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Vila Nova, 30% draw, 29% Cuiaba — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Vila Nova at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vila Nova vs Cuiaba
Line-ups
- 1Helton LeiteG
- 22HaynerD
- 3Tiago PagnussatD
- 4Douglas MendesD
- 6HigorD
- 5João VieiraM
- 15DuduM
- 17Everton GaldinoM
- 10Marquinhos GabrielM
- 99JandersonM
- 7André LuísF
- 16Igor CariúsD
- 20Nathan CamargoM
- 9LincolnF
- 8Willian MaranhãoM
- 29DalbersonG
- 31DodôM
- 11Ryan LimaF
- 70Emerson UrsoF
- 21Higor MeritãoM
- 1João CarlosG
- 13João BassoD
- 5CalebeD
- 4Vitor MendesD
- 2Igor InocêncioM
- 30RaulM
- 20David MiguelM
- 36LorenzoM
- 41KauanM
- 77Jean DiasM
- 90Fábio GomesF
- 11ElielF
- 14EricD
- 91LuisãoD
- 97Luiz OtávioM
- 96Pedro HenriqueF
- 27Rodrigo FarofaF
- 29Vinicius PeixotoF
- 70Wesley DiasM
- 12BusattoG
Form going into Vila Nova vs Cuiaba
Vila Nova
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Botafogo SP3 October 2026
Cuiaba
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Ponte Preta3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 39 | +14 | 66 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 33 | +1 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vila Nova vs Cuiaba
- 14 June 2026Cuiaba 1–0 Vila NovaSerie B
- 24 September 2025Vila Nova 2–2 CuiabaSerie B
- 27 May 2025Cuiaba 1–0 Vila NovaSerie B
- 11 May 2024Cuiaba 4–2 Vila NovaCopa Verde
- 17 April 2024Vila Nova 2–0 CuiabaCopa Verde
- 22 March 2023Cuiaba 1–1 Vila NovaCopa Verde
Leading scorers: Vila Nova and Cuiaba
Vila Nova
GoalsAssists
- Janderson109
- André Luís92
Cuiaba
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 34 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vila Nova and Cuiaba drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Vila Nova at 41% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.