Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu Super League prediction & result
Final score: Beijing Guoan 4-0 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Beijing Guoan, 14% draw, 10% Sichuan Jiuniu — fair odds of 1.32, 7.14 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beijing Guoan at 76% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 38 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
- Zhang Yuning12 goals6 assists
- Fábio Abreu9 goals6 assists
Sichuan Jiuniu
- Wesley Moraes10 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.