7 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result

Budapest
Full time2 – 3

Final score: MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas Academy.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% MTK Budapest, 33% draw, 26% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 2.44, 3.03 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts MTK Budapest at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MTK Budapest3%Draw95%Puskas Academy2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
⚽M. Kernassist: P. Dardai
🔁I. Beriashviliout: C. Belenyesi
22'
23'
⚽G. Harutyunyan
S. Radic
45+3'
45+3'
A. Nemeth
K. Laszlo
45+3'
🔁K. Laszloout: I. Bognar
46'
50'
M. Kern
52'
🔁P. Dardaiout: M. Soisalo
⚽G. Jurekassist: Z. Kerezsi
52'
56'
R. Orjan
63'
🔁A. Nemethout: L. Colley
63'
🔁M. Kernout: Z. Varga
🔁M. Klauszout: G. Komaromi
68'
69'
M. Okeke
⚽Z. Kerezsiassist: I. Bognar
78'
86'
🔁L. Duarteout: U. Nissila
🔁S. Radicout: V. Armalas
86'
90+8'
⚽L. Colleyassist: U. Nissila

Match stats — MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

58%Possession42%
17Shots18
9On target7
8Corners4

Line-ups

MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
  • 1Patrik DemjénG
  • 2Benedek VarjuD
  • 4Ilia BeriashviliD
  • 55Stipe RadićD
  • 27Patrik KovácsD
  • 6Mihály KataM
  • 80Adrian ZeljkovićM
  • 11Gábor JurekM
  • 16Krisztián LászlóM
  • 20Zalán KerezsiM
  • 9Milán KlauszF
Substitutes
  • 18Csaba BelényesiD
  • 10István BognárM
  • 77György KomáromiM
  • 26Vilius ArmalasD
  • 24Tamás FadgyasG
  • 5Dániel HorváthD
  • 13Timóteus János MikolayD
  • 14Artúr HorváthM
  • 23Jakub PlšekM
Coach: Mate Pinezits
Puskas Academy 4-1-4-1
  • 72Bendegúz LehoczkiG
  • 96Roland OrjánD
  • 14Wojciech GollaD
  • 21Georgiy HarutyunyanD
  • 22Roland SzolnokiD
  • 6Laros DuarteM
  • 10Palkó DárdaiM
  • 4Michael OkekeM
  • 74Martin KernM
  • 8Dániel LukácsM
  • 90András NémethF
Substitutes
  • 20Mikael SoisaloF
  • 66Zsombor VargaM
  • 9Lamin ColleyF
  • 16Urho NissiläM
  • 24Tamás MarkekG
  • 80Bendegúz FarkasD
  • 76Barna PálD
  • 77Kevin MondovicsF
  • 88Bence VékonyM
Coach: Levente Babo

Form going into MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

MTK Budapest

  • D3-3away to Budapest Honved1 August 2026
  • W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE27 July 2026

Puskas Academy

  • L0-2Kisvarda FC31 July 2026
  • W2-0away to Debreceni VSC26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6MTK Budapest72321412+29
2Puskas Academy7403109+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

  • 7 August 2026MTK Budapest 2–3 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 15 May 2026Puskas Academy 2–2 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 14 February 2026MTK Budapest 2–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 25 October 2025Puskas Academy 1–1 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 6 April 2025Puskas Academy 1–1 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 30 November 2024MTK Budapest 0–1 Puskas AcademyNB I

Leading scorers: MTK Budapest and Puskas Academy

MTK Budapest

  • Zalán Márk Kerezsi4 goals2 assists
  • G. Jurek4 goals1 assists

Puskas Academy

  • A. Németh2 goals1 assists
  • G. Harutyunyan2 goals
  • L. Colley2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.