Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest NB I prediction & result
Final score: Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest.
Before kick-off the model made it 16% Budapest Honved, 26% draw, 58% MTK Budapest — fair odds of 6.25, 3.85 and 1.72.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
MTK Budapest at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest
Line-ups
- 83Tomáš TujvelG
- 49Branko PauljevićD
- 44Ákos BakiD
- 52Deian BoldorD
- 11Szilveszter HangyaD
- 8Ádam SomogyiM
- 5Dominik CsontosM
- 7Ákos ZuigéberM
- 30Tamás SomogyiM
- 40Ádam SzamosiM
- 19Adi AlićF
- 72Kevin KállaiD
- 23Zoltán MedgyesF
- 17Patrik PinteF
- 99Istvan Mark PekarD
- 71Kevin KántorF
- 31Osman HadžikićG
- 1Gellért DúzsG
- 15Bonifác CsonkaD
- 3Pablo GarcíaD
- 1Patrik DemjénG
- 2Benedek VarjuD
- 4Ilia BeriashviliD
- 55Stipe RadićD
- 27Patrik KovácsD
- 11Gábor JurekM
- 6Mihály KataM
- 80Adrian ZeljkovićM
- 16Krisztián LászlóM
- 17Kristóf HinoraF
- 20Zalán KerezsiF
- 77György KomáromiM
- 26Vilius ArmalasD
- 10István BognárM
- 9Milán KlauszF
- 7Dániel ZsóriF
- 24Tamás FadgyasG
- 18Csaba BelényesiD
- 5Dániel HorváthD
- 13Timóteus János MikolayD
Form going into Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest
Budapest Honved
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC25 July 2026
MTK Budapest
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Budapest Honved | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest
- 13 July 2024MTK Budapest 4–3 Budapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs
- 24 January 2024MTK Budapest 1–1 Budapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs
- 12 March 2022MTK Budapest 1–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 21 November 2021Budapest Honved 3–0 MTK BudapestNB I
- 7 August 2021MTK Budapest 1–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
Leading scorers: Budapest Honved and MTK Budapest
Budapest Honved
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
MTK Budapest
GoalsAssists
- G. Jurek71
- Zalán Márk Kerezsi43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Budapest Honved and MTK Budapest drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for MTK Budapest at 58% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Szamosi 15' for Budapest Honved, A. Somogyi 44' for Budapest Honved, G. Jurek 45+2' for MTK Budapest, Z. Kerezsi 53' for MTK Budapest, D. Csontos (penalty) 87' for Budapest Honved, I. Bognar 90+6' for MTK Budapest. Sent off: A. Baki (Budapest Honved) 90+4'.