Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2 Defensa Y Justicia.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 29% draw, 40% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Defensa Y Justicia at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. AguerreG
- 33S. MoyanoD
- 2A. R. MacielD
- 6F. MansillaD
- 20F. MartinezD
- 22M. VeraM
- 18L. GonzalezM
- 7D. BarreraM
- 10M. IacobellisM
- 11H. TijanovichM
- 47M. CuitinoF
- 25J. VallejosG
- 21F. AguilarD
- 17Y. CasermeiroD
- 3L. MarchiD
- 42J. PignaniD
- 5T. CraveroM
- 55J. CardozoM
- 30F. RodriguezM
- 19E. NayaF
- 1M. BorgognoG
- 28V. LozaD
- 29D. FernandezD
- 21D. MartinezD
- 3F. RomanD
- 8C. PerezM
- 15S. SosaM
- 19D. BarbonaM
- 26J. LuccoF
- 9L. FernandezF
- 24J. GutierrezF
- 36L. AmadeG
- 16A. PortilloM
- 32N. RoselliD
- 6E. BurdinD
- 30D. DominguezD
- 5J. LopezM
- 17A. HauschF
- 22M. PorcelM
- 41R. GagliardiF
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Boca Juniors12 September 2026
- L0-1Independiente6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Talleres Cordoba30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Tigre24 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 August 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Gimnasia Mendoza11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus6 September 2026
- W1-0Platense31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Belgrano Cordoba23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Velez Sarsfield17 August 2026
What these results say
- Central Cordoba de Santiago did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Defensa Y Justicia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Defensa Y Justicia had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia
- 12 March 2026Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 July 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 February 2025Defensa Y Justicia 2–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 August 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 February 2024Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 24 September 2023Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional
The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia record →
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Defensa Y Justicia
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Defensa Y Justicia drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Defensa Y Justicia at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: J. Lucco 36' for Defensa Y Justicia, L. Fernandez 53' for Defensa Y Justicia, M. Iacobellis 71' for Central Cordoba de Santiago, L. Sequeira (penalty) 90' for Central Cordoba de Santiago. On expected goals it finished 1.61–1.99.
How the call on Central Cordoba de Santiago v Defensa Y Justicia has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 37% / 28% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 31% / 29% / 40%: the biggest move is Central Cordoba de Santiago's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago win31%▼ −6
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Defensa Y Justicia win40%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.