Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Sunday 22 November — 8 matches

• 21:00 UTC Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys — model 46% / 30% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.33 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 21:00 UTC River Plate vs Lanus — model 42% / 33% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.03 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 21:00 UTC Rosario Central vs Gimnasia Mendoza — model 55% / 27% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.70 · 5.56. Edge: Rosario Central
• 21:00 UTC Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Cordoba — model 44% / 30% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.33 · 3.85. Evenly matched
• 21:00 UTC Defensa Y Justicia vs Barracas Central — model 40% / 32% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.13 · 3.57. Evenly matched
• 21:00 UTC Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia — model 57% / 25% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.00 · 5.56. Edge: Boca Juniors
• 21:00 UTC Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente — model 46% / 31% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.23 · 4.35. Edge: Argentinos Juniors
• 21:00 UTC Instituto Cordoba vs Huracan — model 47% / 30% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.33 · 4.35. Edge: Instituto Cordoba

Last round: the model's hits and misses

5–8 November: the model called the result of 7 of 15 matches, 2 of them to the exact score. Across all 240 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 42% of results.

• Aldosivi 0–2 River Plate — the model said 25% / 30% / 45%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 Belgrano Cordoba — the model said 41% / 31% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Barracas Central 2–0 Racing Club — the model said 43% / 31% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Independiente 2–1 Deportivo Riestra — the model said 45% / 34% / 21%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• San Lorenzo 0–2 Platense — the model said 39% / 34% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Union Santa Fe 2–0 Velez Sarsfield — the model said 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Banfield 2–2 Atletico Tucuman — the model said 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Tigre 1–0 Sarmiento Junin — the model said 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Gimnasia Mendoza 1–1 Independiente Rivadavia — the model said 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata — the model said 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Argentinos Juniors 0–2 Huracan — the model said 49% / 32% / 19%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Boca Juniors 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia — the model said 52% / 28% / 20%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Rosario Central 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — the model said 66% / 23% / 11%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Instituto Cordoba 2–2 Newell's Old Boys — the model said 48% / 30% / 22%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–1 Lanus — the model said 23% / 31% / 46%, most likely 0-1: result missed.

Liga Profesional Argentina so far

Top of the table

• 1. Instituto Cordoba — 34 pts from 16 (10W 4D 2L, goals 26–15)
• 2. Boca Juniors — 33 pts from 16 (9W 6D 1L, goals 24–14)
• 3. Velez Sarsfield — 28 pts from 16 (7W 7D 2L, goals 25–17)
• 4. Defensa Y Justicia — 28 pts from 16 (8W 4D 4L, goals 21–15)
• 5. Lanus — 26 pts from 16 (7W 5D 4L, goals 19–12)

Leading scorers: C. Tarragona (Union Santa Fe) 17 goals, A. Módica (Gimnasia Mendoza) 14 goals, J. Marabel (Sarmiento Junin) 14 goals.