Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-3 KFUM Oslo.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Sarpsborg 08 FF, 29% draw, 28% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sarpsborg 08 FF at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
Line-ups
- 87L. ØyG
- 12C. NiyukuriD
- 4B. UtvikD
- 2M. LodeD
- 21A. HiimD
- 6A. SherM
- 10S. SørliM
- 8S. ChristiansenM
- 77O. SkarsemM
- 22V. HalvorsenM
- 11D. KarlsbakkF
- 18Bop GueyeM
- 5L. HøylandD
- 1J. PrytsG
- 33A. NibeM
- 20P. ReinhardsenD
- 24S. RostedD
- 32E. WichneD
- 17N. WilliamsM
- 50M. M. EidalD
- 1E. ØdegaardG
- 24H. RøstenD
- 5F. BerglieD
- 13B. SkaretD
- 14H. HosethM
- 19E. SaunesM
- 9M. VinjorM
- 16J. HjorthM
- 11O. VistedF
- 22B. KristensenF
- 10B. NjieF
- 17J. GonstadF
- 42D. HicksonF
- 25H. JensenG
- 33A. NouriD
- 21S. SjøkvistD
- 8B. TobiassenM
- 18R. VingeF
- 6J. FlatenM
- 23M. EikremM
Form going into Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Fredrikstad13 September 2026
- D2-2Valerenga6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Tromso30 August 2026
- L1-2Sandefjord16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Viking8 August 2026
KFUM Oslo
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Aalesund13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Molde6 September 2026
- L1-4away to Start30 August 2026
- D1-1Lillestrom15 August 2026
- W1-0away to Sandefjord7 August 2026
What these results say
- Sarpsborg 08 FF did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- KFUM Oslo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- KFUM Oslo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
- 26 April 2026KFUM Oslo 1–0 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 25 October 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 21 April 2025KFUM Oslo 1–3 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 23 February 2025KFUM Oslo 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FFFriendlies Clubs
- 3 November 2024KFUM Oslo 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
Leading scorers: Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
KFUM Oslo
GoalsAssists
- B. Njie83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KFUM Oslo won 3–1 at Sarpsborg 08 FF. The model had leaned towards a win for Sarpsborg 08 FF at 43% and given a win for KFUM Oslo 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Bjorn Martin Kristensen 24' for KFUM Oslo, Daniel Seland Karlsbakk (penalty) 45+1' for Sarpsborg 08 FF, Hakon Helland Hoseth 45+2' for KFUM Oslo, Julian Bakkeli Gonstad 73' for KFUM Oslo.
How the call on Sarpsborg 08 FF v KFUM Oslo has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is Sarpsborg 08 FF's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF win43%▼ −3
- Draw29%▲ +2
- KFUM Oslo win28%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.