Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Columbus Crew 2-1 Inter Miami.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Columbus Crew, 25% draw, 44% Inter Miami — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Inter Miami at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
Line-ups
- 28P. SchulteG
- 3E. BaillyD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 23M. FarsiM
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 21A. ZarouryM
- 10Brais MéndezF
- 77Josef MartínezF
- 8S. RodríguezF
- 4R. CamachoD
- 24E. BushG
- 17S. BangouraM
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 2M. HerreraD
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 11B. LennonD
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 2G. LujánD
- 5CasemiroD
- 16MicaelD
- 4F. MuraM
- 7R. De PaulM
- 42Y. BrightM
- 3ReguilónM
- 10L. MessiF
- 9L. SuárezF
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 47Idoh Zeltzer-ZubidaF
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 22D. AyalaM
- 13L. BarrazaG
- 37M. FalcónD
- 11Riquelme FillipiF
- 20S. MoralesM
- 59P. PlambeckM
- 70D. SumallaD
Form going into Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to CF Montreal19 September 2026
- L0-1New York Red Bulls12 September 2026
- L1-2away to DC United9 September 2026
- W3-0Colorado Rapids5 September 2026
- L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
Inter Miami
All competitions we cover
- D2-2San Diego20 September 2026
- D2-2Nashville SC12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Chicago Fire10 September 2026
- D2-2Atlanta United FC5 September 2026
- W7-1CF Montreal29 August 2026
What these results say
- Columbus Crew scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
- 1 August 2026Inter Miami 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 31 May 2025Inter Miami 5–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 19 April 2025Columbus Crew 0–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 2 October 2024Columbus Crew 2–3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 13 August 2024Columbus Crew 3–2 Inter MiamiLeagues Cup
Leading scorers: Columbus Crew and Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 59 league goals as a side.
Inter Miami
GoalsAssists
- L. Messi2613
- L. Suárez166
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Inter Miami at 44% and given a win for Columbus Crew 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Josef Martínez (penalty) 28' for Columbus Crew, Lionel Messi 33' for Inter Miami, Jamal Thiare 90+8' for Columbus Crew. Sent off: Santiago Morales (Inter Miami) 90+6'.
How the call on Columbus Crew v Inter Miami has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 33% / 29% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 31% / 25% / 44%: the biggest move is Inter Miami's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Columbus Crew win31%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −4
- Inter Miami win44%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.