Gangwon FC vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Gangwon FC, 31% draw, 32% Incheon United — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gangwon FC at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 24Park Ho-YoungD
- 23M. TuciD
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 11Goh Young-JunF
- 77A. HalaihalF
- 33Hong ChulD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 71Kang Seong-YunD
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 41K. SungG
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 39Kim Myung-SunD
- 28Kim YeonsooD
- 2Juan FernándezD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 72Lee Chung-YongM
- 5Lee Myung-JooM
- 70Leandro RibeiroM
- 26Lee Min-HyeokF
- 9S. MugošaF
- 23Jeong Chi-InM
- 30Kim Young-WhanM
- 3Lee Sang-GiD
- 6Mun Ji-HwanM
- 7Oh Hu-SeongM
- 77Park Seung-HoF
- 8Iker UndabarrenaD
- 74Min-Jun WangG
- 11GersoF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Jeju United FC20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC13 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
Incheon United
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Daejeon Citizen20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC12 September 2026
- W2-1Bucheon FC 19958 September 2026
- L0-1away to FC Seoul5 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors30 August 2026
What these results say
- Gangwon FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Incheon United conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Incheon United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Incheon United scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
- 2 May 2026Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 6 October 2024Incheon United 1–3 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 30 June 2024Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 21 April 2024Gangwon FC 4–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 24 September 2023Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Incheon United
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Incheon United
GoalsAssists
- S. Mugoša111
- M. Ferrier51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gangwon FC and Incheon United drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 37% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Gangwon FC v Incheon United has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 37% / 31% / 32%: the biggest move is Gangwon FC's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Gangwon FC win37%▼ −6
- Draw31%▲ +2
- Incheon United win32%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.