Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Deportivo Riestra, 27% draw, 18% Barracas Central — fair odds of 1.82, 3.70 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Riestra at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1I. ArceG
- 36M. BracamonteD
- 6I. GariglioD
- 22C. PazD
- 2C. QuintanaD
- 15N. SansotreD
- 11A. DiazM
- 8M. CelizM
- 16N. WatsonM
- 7A. AlonsoM
- 9N. BenegasF
- 23M. ArzamendiaG
- 3E. TovoD
- 27J. GoitiaD
- 35A. StringaF
- 5P. RamirezD
- 21T. GonzalezF
- 10B. SanchezM
- 13R. GalloD
- 24F. MinoD
- 30M. MinoG
- 13R. BarriosD
- 14K. JappertD
- 15Y. RakD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 6R. InsuaD
- 8T. PorraM
- 5D. MilocM
- 10I. TapiaM
- 77F. BrueraF
- 20J. CandiaF
- 1J. EspinolaG
- 37G. CampiD
- 33G. MaroniM
- 19C. ArceM
- 7J. BarbieriF
- 2N. CapraroD
- 79M. PuigM
- 32F. TobioD
- 28R. BogarinM
Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia29 July 2026
- W3-0Boca Juniors26 July 2026
Barracas Central
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Aldosivi29 July 2026
- W1-0away to River Plate25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
- 1 February 2026Barracas Central 1–1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 November 2025Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 December 2024Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 February 2024Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 25 March 2019Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Barracas CentralPrimera B Metropolitana
The result against the call
Barracas Central won 1–0 at Deportivo Riestra. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo Riestra at 55% and given a win for Barracas Central 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goal: G. Maroni 72' for Barracas Central. On expected goals it finished 0.67–1.11.