Racing Club vs Tigre Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Racing Club 1-3 Tigre.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Racing Club, 24% draw, 16% Tigre — fair odds of 1.67, 4.17 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Racing Club at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Racing Club vs Tigre
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Facundo CambesesG
- 15Gastón MartirenaD
- 23Nazareno ColomboD
- 6Marcos RojoD
- 19Ignacio RodríguezD
- 11Matías ZarachoM
- 5Matías KranevitterM
- 10Matko MiljevicM
- 46Alejandro TelloM
- 9Adrián MartínezF
- 32Lautaro DíazF
- 4Ezequiel CannavoD
- 3Marco Di CesareD
- 16Ulises OrtegozaM
- 7Duván VergaraF
- 22Elías TorresF
- 30Matías TagliamonteG
- 43Gonzalo EscuderoD
- 18PachaD
- 34Tobías RubioD
- 12Felipe ZenobioG
- 4Valentín MorenoD
- 2Joaquín LasoD
- 20Alan BarrionuevoD
- 3Nahuel BanegasD
- 8Martín GarayM
- 30Jalil EliasM
- 10Jabes SaraleguiM
- 28Gonzalo MartínezM
- 22Santiago LópezM
- 29Ignacio RussoF
- 33Elías CabreraM
- 24Federico ÁlvarezD
- 19Alfio OviedoF
- 23Gonzalo RequenaD
- 27Santiago GonzálezM
- 26Lautaro MoralesG
- 17Guillermo SotoD
- 32Juan VillalbaD
- 21Sebastián MedinaM
Form going into Racing Club vs Tigre
Racing Club
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Rosario Central29 July 2026
- W2-1Gimnasia La Plata24 July 2026
Tigre
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Tigre
- 2 February 2026Tigre 3–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 December 2025Racing Club 0–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 August 2025Racing Club 1–2 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 February 2025Tigre 1–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 May 2024Tigre 0–4 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Racing Club and Tigre
Racing Club
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Tigre
GoalsAssists
- I. Russo83
- M. Méndez73
- D. Romero72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tigre won 3–1 at Racing Club. The model had leaned towards a win for Racing Club at 60% and given a win for Tigre 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: P. Martinez 19' for Tigre, M. Garay 26' for Tigre, I. Russo 51' for Tigre, D. Vergara 65' for Racing Club. On expected goals it finished 0.58–0.78.