Derry City vs Galway United Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Derry City 1-0 Galway United.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Derry City, 27% draw, 26% Galway United — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Derry City at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Derry City vs Galway United
Line-ups
- 13Tom NorcottG
- 23C. DummiganD
- 4J. StottD
- 3Patrick McCleanD
- 12D. BurnsM
- 17N. TwiskM
- 8A. O'ReillyM
- 19B. FlemingM
- 14E. ChapmanF
- 29T. SmithF
- 7M. DuffyF
- 27L. BoyceF
- 28J. OlayinkaM
- 22C. BarrD
- 15J. ClarkeM
- 25Christy GroganD
- 24Brooklyn Lyons-FosterD
- 1B. MaherG
- 21Kévin SantosM
- 11G. WhyteM
- 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
- 15O. WilliamsD
- 2A. O'ConnorD
- 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
- 3Connor BarrattM
- 8A. BolgerM
- 10D. HurleyM
- 4J. KeohaneM
- 20L. DevittM
- 11K. TwardekF
- 7S. WalshF
- 32Vincent AngeliniG
- 21D. ConnollyF
- 30A. KazeemD
- 9F. LombotoF
- 28J. MorahanD
- 23F. PierrotF
- 17Junior ThiamM
- 54C. WhittakerM
Form going into Derry City vs Galway United
Derry City
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Waterford14 September 2026
- W1-0away to Shelbourne11 September 2026
- D3-3Shamrock Rovers30 August 2026
- L0-1HNK Rijeka30 July 2026
- L0-1away to HNK Rijeka23 July 2026
Galway United
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Sligo Rovers14 September 2026
- L2-3Bohemians11 September 2026
What these results say
- Derry City failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Derry City conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 48 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Derry City vs Galway United
- 19 June 2026Galway United 2–1 Derry CityPremier Division
- 4 May 2026Derry City 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 3 April 2026Galway United 2–1 Derry CityPremier Division
- 22 August 2025Galway United 1–2 Derry CityPremier Division
- 13 June 2025Derry City 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 18 April 2025Galway United 2–3 Derry CityPremier Division
Leading scorers: Derry City and Galway United
Derry City
GoalsAssists
- M. Duffy115
- J. Clarke73
Galway United
GoalsAssists
- K. Twardek86
- J. Keohane73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Derry City beat Galway United 1–0. The model had made a win for Derry City its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Adam O'Reilly 45+1' for Derry City.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.