11 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Premier Division prediction & result

Weavers Park, Drogheda
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Drogheda United 2-0 Sligo Rovers.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Drogheda United, 29% draw, 31% Sligo Rovers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Drogheda United at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Drogheda United99%Draw1%Sligo Rovers0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
Carl McHugh
⚽Warren Davis
38'
39'
🔁Jack Shorrockout: James McManus
43'
🔁Trey georgeout: Archie Meekison
⚽Edwin Agbaje
45+3'
45'
🔁Luke Pearceout: Cian Kavanagh
63'
Seb Quirk
67'
🔁Seb Quirkout: Ruben Gillespie
🔁Brandon Kavanaghout: Ryan Brennan
79'
🔁Warren Davisout: Ryan Markey
81'
🔁Edwin Agbajeout: Kieran Cruise
87'

Match stats — Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers

40%Possession60%
16Shots11
7On target1
6Corners7

Line-ups

Drogheda United 3-5-2
  • 1L. DennisonG
  • 4A. QuinnD
  • 22C. KeeleyD
  • 5Leo BurneyD
  • 2E. AgbajeM
  • 15A. BatesM
  • 10B. KavanaghM
  • 8Ethan O'BrienM
  • 3C. KaneM
  • 24W. DavisF
  • 11T. OluwaF
Substitutes
  • 61Conor CannonM
  • 44Fynn Michael Cordell TalleyG
  • 36theo hennessyG
  • 31K. CruiseD
  • 19R. BrennanM
  • 25R. MarkeyF
  • 29J. BrennanD
  • 33S. McGrathM
  • 32D. MareD
Coach: K. Doherty
Sligo Rovers 4-4-2
  • 29S. SargeantG
  • 4S. QuirkD
  • 15O. DenhamD
  • 52G. McElroyD
  • 3Sean StewartD
  • 20T. GeorgeM
  • 6L. YoungM
  • 16C. McHughM
  • 7J. ShorrockM
  • 9L. PearceF
  • 41K. WooleryF
Substitutes
  • 1Liam John HughesG
  • 50Ruben Gillespie
  • 19A. NolanM
  • 23K. McDonaghM
  • 14J. McManusM
  • 11C. KavanaghF
  • 61Conor CannonD
  • 24J. O'DonnellF
  • 10A. MeekisonF
Coach: D. Purse

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Drogheda United361010164457-1340
10Sligo Rovers36510212866-3825

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers

Drogheda United

GoalsAssists

  • M. Doyle111
  • B. Kavanagh65

Sligo Rovers

No player in Premier Division's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Drogheda United beat Sligo Rovers 2–0. The model had made a win for Drogheda United its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Warren Davis 38' for Drogheda United, Edwin Agbaje 45+3' for Drogheda United.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.