11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

St Patrick's Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers Premier Division prediction & result

Richmond Park, Dublin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: St Patrick's Athletic 2-0 Shamrock Rovers.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% St Patrick's Athletic, 28% draw, 25% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

St Patrick's Athletic at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

St Patrick's Athletic99%Draw1%Shamrock Rovers0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jason McClellandassist: Jamie Lennon
4'
32'
Roberto Lopes
⚽Aidan Keenaassist: Zachary Elbouzedi
33'
45'
🔁Tunmise Sobowaleout: Adam Brennan
Ryan Sheridan
50'
56'
🔁Jack Byrneout: Jake Mulraney
🔁Aidan Keenaout: James Brown
67'
🔁Ryan Edmondsonout: Anthony Olusanya
67'
67'
🔁Daniel Clearyout: Jonathan Afolabi
68'
🔁Michael Noonanout: John McGovern
🔁Zachary Elbouzediout: Romal Palmer
68'
🔁Ryan Sheridanout: Christopher Forrester
72'
73'
🔁Graham Burkeout: Cory O'Sullivan
🔁Jason McClellandout: Anto Breslin
79'
80'
Cory O'Sullivan

Match stats — St Patrick's Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers

38%Possession62%
10Shots10
5On target4
1Corners6

Line-ups

St Patrick's Athletic 5-3-2
  • 94J. AnangG
  • 7Z. ElbouzediD
  • 4J. RedmondD
  • 2S. HoareD
  • 24L. TurnerD
  • 11J. McClellandD
  • 48R. SheridanM
  • 6J. LennonM
  • 19B. BaggleyM
  • 27R. EdmondsonF
  • 9A. KeenaF
Substitutes
  • 8C. ForresterM
  • 33S. McHaleD
  • 16D. NugentM
  • 21A. OlusanyaF
  • 17R. PalmerM
  • 1D. RogersG
  • 23J. BrownD
  • 3A. BreslinD
  • 35S. RooneyF
Coach: S. Kenny
Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
  • 1E. McGintyG
  • 6D. ClearyD
  • 4PicoD
  • 5L. GraceD
  • 22T. SobowaleM
  • 7D. WattsM
  • 8M. HealyM
  • 29J. ByrneM
  • 24W. FitzgeraldM
  • 31M. NoonanF
  • 10G. BurkeF
Substitutes
  • 18J. AfolabiF
  • 19A. BrennanM
  • 9A. GreeneF
  • 88J. McGovernF
  • 11J. MulraneyM
  • 26John O'SullivanM
  • 27C. O'SullivanD
  • 25L. SteacyG
Coach: S. Bradley

Form going into St Patrick's Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers

St Patrick's Athletic

No earlier matches on record this season.

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Bohemians4 September 2026
  • D0-0Shelbourne4 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Derry City30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to KuPS27 August 2026
  • D1-1KuPS20 August 2026

What these results say

  • Shamrock Rovers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Shamrock Rovers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3St Patrick's Athletic36179105531+2460
1Shamrock Rovers3620885938+2168

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers

St Patrick's Athletic

GoalsAssists

  • A. Keena105
  • R. Edmondson101
  • K. Leavy73

Shamrock Rovers

GoalsAssists

  • J. McGovern107
  • G. Burke84

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

St Patrick's Athletic beat Shamrock Rovers 2–0. The model had made a win for St Patrick's Athletic its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jason McClelland 4' for St Patrick's Athletic, Aidan Keena 33' for St Patrick's Athletic.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.