31 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Full time3 – 1

Final score: FK Partizan 3-1 OFK Beograd.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% FK Partizan, 26% draw, 42% OFK Beograd — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

OFK Beograd at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Partizan99%Draw1%OFK Beograd0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽I. Miladinovic
36'
⚽M. Aleksic
54'
55'
🔁E. Hoardout: D. Rankovic
56'
Yacouba Silue
🔁M. Aleksicout: B. Kostic
59'
⚽B. Kosticassist: I. Miladinovic
66'
🔁S. Nwuluout: M. Milovanovic
71'
🔁I. Miladinovicout: A. Zekovic
71'
🔁E. Kojzekout: Jeh
71'
72'
⚽D. Y. Silueassist: H. Aderoju
73'
🔁M. Rodicout: L. Ivanovic
73'
🔁M. Momcilovicout: H. Toure
73'
🔁T. De Barrout: T. Wouter
🔁I. Babaout: C. Traore
77'
79'
🔁M. Gobeljicout: S. Despotovski
80'
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde
Aleks Zeković
84'
Milan Vukotić
87'

Match stats — FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd

59%Possession41%
19Shots12
6On target6
6Corners1
2.79xG1.4

Goals against chances

FK Partizan3 from 2.79 xGabout what the chances were worth
OFK Beograd1 from 1.40 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Partizan 4-2-3-1
  • 31M. KrunicG
  • 30M. RoganovicD
  • 44S. MilicD
  • 40N. SimicD
  • 20S. NwuluD
  • 14I. BabaM
  • 11M. VukoticM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 17M. AleksicM
  • 10I. MiladinovicM
  • 9E. KojzekF
Substitutes
  • 1M. MilosevicG
  • 33S. PetrovicD
  • 24V. DjurdjevicD
  • 23S. MitrovicD
  • 5M. MilovanovicD
  • 90Z. AlilovicM
  • 8A. ZekovicM
  • 99B. KosticF
  • 7C. TraoreM
Coach: Sasa Ilic
OFK Beograd 4-4-2
  • 31V. DraskicG
  • 77M. GobeljicD
  • 45A. VukicevicD
  • 24U. StojanovicD
  • 23M. RodicD
  • 27H. AderojuM
  • 6S. PenaM
  • 14M. MomcilovicM
  • 11T. De BarrM
  • 9E. HoardF
  • 42D. Y. Silue
Substitutes
  • 80V. BarlovG
  • 2S. DespotovskiD
  • 4A. PavlovicD
  • 16L. IvanovicD
  • 10S. MarkovicM
  • 91A. VasilicM
  • 18H. ToureD
  • 25I. Dembele
  • 28J. MrvaljevicM
Coach: Jovan Damjanovic

Form going into FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd

FK Partizan

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Getafe27 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Mladost Lucani23 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Getafe20 August 2026
  • L0-1Radnicki 192316 August 2026
  • W2-1away to FK Tobol Kostanay13 August 2026

OFK Beograd

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Zemun22 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Cukaricki15 August 2026
  • D2-2Železničar Pančevo9 August 2026

What these results say

  • FK Partizan conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Partizan scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FK Partizan had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10FK Partizan155282526-117
12OFK Beograd152581527-1211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd

  • 9 May 2026FK Partizan 1–1 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
  • 28 February 2026FK Partizan 1–2 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
  • 27 September 2025OFK Beograd 0–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 23 April 2025FK Partizan 2–2 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
  • 15 February 2025FK Partizan 4–1 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
  • 15 September 2024OFK Beograd 3–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Partizan and OFK Beograd

FK Partizan

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kojzek32

OFK Beograd

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Silue70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Partizan beat OFK Beograd 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for OFK Beograd at 42% and given a win for FK Partizan 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: I. Miladinovic 36' for FK Partizan, M. Aleksic 54' for FK Partizan, B. Kostic 66' for FK Partizan, D. Y. Silue 72' for OFK Beograd. On expected goals it finished 2.79–1.40.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.