31 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Dijon vs Saint Etienne Ligue 2 prediction & result

Dijon
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Dijon, 29% draw, 34% Saint Etienne — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dijon at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dijon0%Draw4%Saint Etienne96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
⚽T. Balloassist: I. Cardona
⚽S. Chouchaneassist: P. Bellon
39'
Paul Bellon
44'
45+2'
Zuriko Davitashvili
⚽S. Chouchane
55'
64'
⚽T. Ballo
🔁T. Dongout: A. Ntamack
65'
🔁J. Tavaresout: Y. Barka
65'
65'
🔁T. Balloout: J. Duffus
66'
🔁T. Svetlinout: B. Old
🔁A. Lembezatout: J. Marie
73'
🔁P. Bellonout: Y. Aka
73'
80'
⚽A. Boakyeassist: Z. Davitashvili
🔁M. Fatyout: M. Barreto
82'
84'
🔁A. Boakyeout: A. Baallal
90+3'
🔁Z. Davitashviliout: N. El Jamali

Match stats — Dijon vs Saint Etienne

49%Possession51%
13Shots17
7On target12
3Corners3

Line-ups

Dijon 4-1-3-2
  • 16P. DelecroixG
  • 93I. BouleghchaD
  • 23L. LacroixD
  • 5Q. BernardD
  • 31M. FatyD
  • 8P. BellonM
  • 21S. ChouchaneM
  • 17A. LembezatM
  • 18B. NdeziM
  • 11J. TavaresF
  • 9T. DongF
Substitutes
  • 46I. Marie-RoseG
  • 6W. DioufD
  • 4M. BarretoM
  • 14J. MarieM
  • 20H. Vargas-RiosM
  • 42Y. AkaD
  • 7B. HamadaM
  • 29A. NtamackF
  • 10Y. BarkaF
Coach: Baptiste Ridira
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
  • 30G. LarsonneurG
  • 23K. PedroD
  • 26J. Le CardinalD
  • 18S. NairD
  • 6M. BernauerD
  • 16T. SvetlinM
  • 14A. CsongvaiM
  • 22Z. DavitashviliM
  • 20A. BoakyeM
  • 8T. BalloM
  • 7I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NdiayeG
  • 40L. LavalleeG
  • 11B. OldF
  • 37N. KasiaD
  • 35M. SissokoM
  • 32A. BaallalM
  • 31N. El JamaliM
  • 17J. DuffusF
Coach: Ian Cathro

Form going into Dijon vs Saint Etienne

Dijon

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026
  • L0-1PAU14 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Montpellier8 August 2026

Saint Etienne

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Grenoble22 August 2026
  • W3-1Clermont Foot14 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Sochaux8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Dijon125342119+218
1Saint Etienne129122511+1428

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dijon vs Saint Etienne

  • 11 February 2023Saint Etienne 2–0 DijonLigue 2
  • 30 July 2022Dijon 2–1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 23 May 2021Saint Etienne 0–1 DijonLigue 1
  • 6 December 2020Dijon 0–0 Saint EtienneLigue 1
  • 10 August 2019Dijon 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1

Leading scorers: Dijon and Saint Etienne

Dijon

GoalsAssists

  • Júlio Tavares51
  • Y. Barka40

Saint Etienne

GoalsAssists

  • I. Cardona65
  • A. Boakye63
  • T. Ballo52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Saint Etienne won 3–2 at Dijon. The model had leaned towards a win for Dijon at 37% and given a win for Saint Etienne 34%. The goals: T. Ballo 21' for Saint Etienne, S. Chouchane 39' for Dijon, S. Chouchane 55' for Dijon, T. Ballo 64' for Saint Etienne, A. Boakye 80' for Saint Etienne.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.