Serbian SuperLiga predictions & fixtures

Saturday 21 November — 7 matches

17:00 UTC FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica — model 71% / 18% / 11%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.41 · 5.56 · 9.09. One-sided: FK Crvena Zvezda
17:00 UTC Mladost Lucani vs Železničar Pančevo — model 21% / 27% / 52%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.76 · 3.70 · 1.92. One-sided: Železničar Pančevo
17:00 UTC Radnicki NIS vs Zemun — model 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.70 · 4.35. Edge: Radnicki NIS
17:00 UTC OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03. Evenly matched
17:00 UTC Macva vs Vojvodina — model 20% / 24% / 56%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.00 · 4.17 · 1.79. One-sided: Vojvodina
17:00 UTC Radnicki 1923 vs Cukaricki — model 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.70 · 3.33. Evenly matched
17:00 UTC IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Partizan — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33. Evenly matched

Saturday 28 November — 6 matches

17:00 UTC FK Partizan vs Radnicki NIS — model 60% / 21% / 19%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.67 · 4.76 · 5.26. Edge: FK Partizan
17:00 UTC Zemun vs Radnicki 1923 — model 21% / 27% / 52%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.76 · 3.70 · 1.92. One-sided: Radnicki 1923
17:00 UTC Cukaricki vs Mladost Lucani — model 52% / 27% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.92 · 3.70 · 4.76. Edge: Cukaricki
17:00 UTC Radnik Surdulica vs Vojvodina — model 27% / 27% / 46%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 3.70 · 2.17. Edge: Vojvodina
17:00 UTC IMT Novi Beograd vs Macva — model 50% / 29% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.45 · 4.76. Edge: IMT Novi Beograd
17:00 UTC Železničar Pančevo vs OFK Beograd — model 59% / 24% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.17 · 5.88. One-sided: Železničar Pančevo

Last round: the model's hits and misses

7–8 November: the model called the result of 5 of 7 matches. Across all 82 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 60% of results.

Zemun 1–1 IMT Novi Beograd — the model said 19% / 30% / 51%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Cukaricki 2–1 Radnicki NIS — the model said 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Železničar Pančevo 3–1 Radnicki 1923 — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Novi Pazar 2–0 Mladost Lucani — the model said 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Radnik Surdulica 2–1 OFK Beograd — the model said 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
FK Partizan 1–2 Macva — the model said 62% / 21% / 17%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Vojvodina 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda — the model said 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2: result correct.

Serbian SuperLiga so far

Top of the table

1. FK Crvena Zvezda — 43 pts from 15 (14W 1D 0L, goals 38–6)
2. Vojvodina — 32 pts from 15 (10W 2D 3L, goals 30–13)
3. Železničar Pančevo — 29 pts from 14 (9W 2D 3L, goals 24–12)
4. IMT Novi Beograd — 23 pts from 15 (6W 5D 4L, goals 16–10)
5. Radnicki 1923 — 23 pts from 15 (7W 2D 6L, goals 22–19)

The model's chance of finishing first in the regular season, from 10,000 simulations of the 78 matches left: FK Crvena Zvezda 99.6%, Vojvodina 0.3%, Železničar Pančevo 0.2%.

Leading scorers: D. Zukić (Vojvodina) 8 goals, Y. Silue (OFK Beograd) 7 goals, U. Sremčević (Radnicki 1923) 6 goals.