Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 2-2 Gwangju FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% Gangwon FC, 12% draw, 8% Gwangju FC — fair odds of 1.25, 8.33 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 80% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC
Gangwon FC
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Gwangju FC
- L0-1Incheon United23 August 2026
- L1-2Pohang Steelers15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Bucheon FC 19958 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 42 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC
- 9 May 2026Gwangju FC 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 4 April 2026Gangwon FC 3–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 23 August 2025Gwangju FC 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 25 May 2025Gwangju FC 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 13 April 2025Gangwon FC 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 18 August 2024Gangwon FC 3–2 Gwangju FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC
Gangwon FC
- A. Halaihal4 goals
- Mo Jae-Hyeon3 goals2 assists
Gwangju FC
No player in K League 1's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.