Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Fenerbahçe.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Gornik Zabrze, 25% draw, 45% Fenerbahçe — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik Zabrze (21 Jul) →
Fenerbahçe went through 2–1 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Fenerbahçe at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
Line-ups
- 1Philipp SchulzeG
- 61Michal SáčekD
- 26Rafał JanickiD
- 20JosemaD
- 64Erik JanžaD
- 66Maximilian DietzM
- 7Yvan Ikia DimiM
- 18Lukáš SadílekM
- 82Kacper UrbańskiM
- 88Taofeek IsmaheelM
- 11Erik PrekopF
- 33Maksym KhlanM
- 23Sondre LisethF
- 19Peter GonzálezM
- 34Bruno DurdovM
- 29Wiktor KaniaG
- 2Patryk WarczakD
- 4Paweł BochniewiczD
- 21Ondřej ZmrzlýD
- 28Bastien DonioM
- 34Mert GünokG
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 37Milan ŠkriniarD
- 15Nathan AkéD
- 24Jayden OosterwoldeD
- 6Mattéo GuendouziM
- 7FredM
- 17İrfan Can KahveciM
- 10Marco AsensioM
- 9Kerem AktürkoğluM
- 94TaliscaF
- 5İsmail YüksekM
- 11Mason GreenwoodF
- 20Anthony MusabaF
- 70Oğuz AydınF
- 18Mert MüldürD
- 13Tarık ÇetinG
- 31EdersonG
- 3Archie BrownD
- 4Çağlar SöyüncüD
Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Fenerbahçe21 July 2026
Fenerbahçe
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Gornik Zabrze21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 31 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · UEFA Champions League
Head-to-head: Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
- 21 July 2026Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Champions League
Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
GoalsAssists
- K. UrbaÅski51
Fenerbahçe
GoalsAssists
- M. Greenwood42
- Talisca40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Fenerbahçe at 45% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Talisca (penalty) 12' for Fenerbahçe, M. Sacek 45+10' for Gornik Zabrze.