HB Torshavn vs Motherwell UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: HB Torshavn 0-3 Motherwell.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% HB Torshavn, 22% draw, 27% Motherwell — fair odds of 1.96, 4.55 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Motherwell 2–0 HB Torshavn (23 Jul) →
Motherwell went through 5–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
HB Torshavn at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1B. MorkG
- 15H. MohrD
- 6A. JohannesenD
- 3P. SteiringD
- 11A. DamM
- 9H. SorensenM
- 5N. MneneyM
- 8D. SoyluM
- 7M. VossD
- 23J. ThomsenF
- 22A. JonssonD
- 12T. GestssonG
- 13T. SjurdarsonG
- 4H. HansenM
- 18S. RadosavljevicM
- 19E. FalkenbergF
- 20M. EbiyeF
- 21E. Mouritsen
- 24S. JoensenD
- 25S. B. PettersenF
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 7T. SparrowM
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 20D. WilliamsM
- 27M. BoothM
- 8L. FadingerM
- 12O. PriestmanM
- 77W. VogtF
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 19I. SaidM
- 21Matty ConnellyG
- 31J. McConnellG
- 18T. MaswanhiseF
- 23E. WilsonD
- 24L. RossF
- 25O. WhyteM
- 29Z. McAllisterM
- 34A. ThomsonM
- 36L. WeirF
Form going into HB Torshavn vs Motherwell
HB Torshavn
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Motherwell23 July 2026
Motherwell
All competitions we cover
- W2-0HB Torshavn23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: HB Torshavn vs Motherwell
- 23 July 2026Motherwell 2–0 HB TorshavnUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: HB Torshavn and Motherwell
HB Torshavn
No leading scorers listed yet.
Motherwell
GoalsAssists
- A. Lowry31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Motherwell won 3–0 at HB Torshavn. The model had leaned towards a win for HB Torshavn at 51% and given a win for Motherwell 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Fadinger (penalty) 25' for Motherwell, R. Charles-Cook 36' for Motherwell, D. Williams 50' for Motherwell.