Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Ludogorets 2-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Ludogorets, 23% draw, 16% Hapoel Tel Aviv — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 Ludogorets (23 Jul) →
Hapoel Tel Aviv went through 4–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Ludogorets at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 39H. BonmannG
- 17SonD
- 3A. NedyalkovD
- 15E. KurtulusD
- 27Vinicius NogueiraD
- 26F. KalocM
- 14P. StanicM
- 18I. ChochevM
- 37B. TekpeteyM
- 9K. DuahF
- 7A. Salido TajeroF
- 1S. PadtG
- 2J. AnderssonD
- 12Rwan CruzF
- 20A. CamaraM
- 24O. VerdonD
- 25E. RodriguezM
- 29E. BileF
- 40A. MarinovM
- 42S. ShishkovD
- 22A. Tzur
- 97M. CocoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 98FalcaoM
- 6A. KraevM
- 11S. TurielM
- 51O. AltmanF
- 10X. SilvaF
- 9E. BoatengF
- 1D. BenyaminiG
- 33Y. BazdogG
- 8Y. FerberM
- 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
- 15R. Alkoukin
- 18T. ArchelD
- 20O. IsraelovD
- 21S. PivenD
- 23A. LemkinM
Form going into Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Dunav Ruse27 July 2026
- L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv23 July 2026
- W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv18 July 2026
Hapoel Tel Aviv
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Ludogorets23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ludogorets and Hapoel Tel Aviv in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | First League | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 30 |
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 25 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: First League · Ligat Ha'al
Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
- 23 July 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 LudogoretsUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Ludogorets and Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
GoalsAssists
- B. Tekpetey20
- Rwan Cruz12
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- R. Alkokin32
- E. Boateng32
- D. Dappa31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ludogorets and Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Ludogorets at 61% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Boateng 16' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, B. Tekpetey 47' for Ludogorets, A. Salido Tajero 54' for Ludogorets, E. Boateng 58' for Hapoel Tel Aviv.