HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek HNL prediction & result
Final score: HNK Gorica 0-2 NK Osijek.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% HNK Gorica, 29% draw, 37% NK Osijek — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
NK Osijek at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71Davor MatijašG
- 45Stefan PerićD
- 32Jakov FilipovićD
- 34Ivan CvijanovićD
- 2Filip BrautM
- 36Ante KaveljM
- 24Domagoj PavičićM
- 25Bruno BogojevićM
- 7Ognjen BakićF
- 99Medin GashiF
- 9Patrik MijićF
- 26Keenan CaroleF
- 4Kevin CustovicM
- 20Luka VrzićF
- 66Juraj FriganM
- 21Hadji Issa MoustaphaD
- 1Renato JosipovićG
- 30Darijan ŽarkovG
- 28Elisandro Kožina AranhaD
- 14Stjepan KučišM
- 31Marko MalenicaG
- 77Senad MustaficD
- 49Ivano KolarikD
- 26Luka JelenićD
- 22Roko JurišićD
- 23Luka VrbančićM
- 7Ivan DolčekM
- 39Domagoj BukvićM
- 48Jona JežićM
- 11Nail OmerovićM
- 99BaleloF
- 79Armando LeónF
- 8Šimun MikolčićM
- 17Arnel JakupovićF
- 33Emin HasićD
- 30Admir LjatifiF
- 1Nikola ĆurčijaG
- 5Jon MersinajD
- 47David KalemD
- 18Niko FarkašM
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek
- 16 May 2026HNK Gorica 2–0 NK OsijekHNL
- 14 March 2026NK Osijek 0–0 HNK GoricaHNL
- 13 December 2025NK Osijek 1–1 HNK GoricaHNL
- 28 September 2025HNK Gorica 0–1 NK OsijekHNL
- 19 April 2025NK Osijek 0–1 HNK GoricaHNL
Leading scorers: HNK Gorica and NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
GoalsAssists
- B. Bogojević40
NK Osijek
GoalsAssists
- A. León61
- N. Omerović50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NK Osijek won 2–0 at HNK Gorica. The model had made a win for NK Osijek its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: I. Dolcek 7' for NK Osijek, N. Omerovic (penalty) 14' for NK Osijek. On expected goals it finished 0.82–2.68.