Lusail City vs Al Wakrah Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Lusail City 4-0 Al Wakrah.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Lusail City, 27% draw, 41% Al Wakrah — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Qatar Stars League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Wakrah at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lusail City vs Al Wakrah
Line-ups
- 1A. ShakouriG
- 2A. PilaliD
- 4F. RussoD
- 6O. EbrahimiD
- 27M. AiashD
- 66A. NematiD
- 7F. ZavoshiM
- 20Naif Al HadhramiM
- 8Khaled MohammedM
- 11H. FirouziM
- 19RodrigoF
- 15Abdulhadi Kasr Al-OunM
- 10S. JjbrilM
- 22T. GeralnikM
- 70Mohamed KhaledF
- 30H. KamalD
- 3Ali MalolahD
- 96Amir HassanG
- 5Abdullah Makki Al-KaratlyM
- 14K. MansourM
- 1Mohammed Al BakriG
- 66Mohamed SimoD
- 15Almahdi AliD
- 2Lucas MendesD
- 12Murad Naji HusseinD
- 8Hamdi FathyM
- 93A. LaïdouniM
- 7A. AssalM
- 18Luis AlbertoM
- 75A. ZouhzouhM
- 11R. BerkaneF
- 22Yousef RamadanG
- 10Gelson DalaF
- 9Tameem MansourF
- 5Ahmed FadelM
- 16Nabil IrfanD
- 3P. CalioneD
- 17R. BoussafiF
- 99Omair Al SayedG
- 6Omar Al OsadM
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lusail City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Wakrah | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Lusail City and Al Wakrah
Lusail City
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo60
Al Wakrah
GoalsAssists
- B. Bounedjah40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lusail City beat Al Wakrah 4–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Wakrah at 41% and given a win for Lusail City 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Hamidreza Firouzi 12' for Lusail City, Rodrigo Machado (penalty) 19' for Lusail City, Farhad Zavoshi 45+4' for Lusail City, Farhad Zavoshi 57' for Lusail City.
How the call on Lusail City v Al Wakrah has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 28% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Al Wakrah's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Lusail City win32%▼ −1
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Al Wakrah win41%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.