18 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Rapid vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result

Giulesti Stadium, Bucharest
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Rapid 3-1 Arges Pitesti.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Rapid, 29% draw, 22% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 2.04, 3.45 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rapid98%Draw2%Arges Pitesti0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Yanis Pirvu
⚽Constantin Grameniassist: Filip Stojiljković
21'
54'
Leard·Sadriu
⚽Constantin Grameniassist: Mohammed·Kamara
57'
•Constantin Grameni
57'
58'
🔁Silviu Balaureout: Michael Idowu
68'
⚽Dorinel·Oancea
🔁Mohammed·Kamaraout: Claudiu Petrila
69'
🔁Ebenezer Annanout: Latif Ouedraogo
69'
🔁Sheriff Sinyanout: Denis Ciobotariu
76'
🔁Alexandru Dobreout: Vladan Bubanja
76'
77'
Florin Gheorghe·Borta
Denis Ciobotariu
86'
88'
🔁Oluwatobiloba Alagbeout: Ricardo Matos
88'
🔁Vadim Rațăout: Ionut Laurentiu Radescu
🔁Filip Stojiljkovićout: Andrei Sucu
90+4'
⚽Andrei Sucuassist: Vladan Bubanja
90+4'

Match stats — Rapid vs Arges Pitesti

57%Possession43%
23Shots11
10On target2
10Corners4

Line-ups

Rapid 4-2-3-1
  • 99B. UngureanuG
  • 19R. OneaD
  • 18S. SinyanD
  • 6L. KramerD
  • 27E. AnnanD
  • 15C. VulturarM
  • 8C. GrameniM
  • 29A. DobreM
  • 80O. MoruțanM
  • 7M. KamaraM
  • 9F. StojilkovićF
Substitutes
  • 13D. CiobotariuD
  • 22V. BubanjaM
  • 44C. B. DoumbiaM
  • 90T. JamborF
  • 42A. KumerD
  • 23C. ManeaD
  • 66W. L. OuedraogoD
  • 10C. PetrilaM
  • 55R. PopM
Coach: D. Pancu
Arges Pitesti 4-2-3-1
  • 77I. NikićG
  • 26D. OanceaD
  • 2A. TofanD
  • 3L. SadriuD
  • 23F. BorţaD
  • 69O. AdefunyibomiM
  • 22V. RaţăM
  • 11Y. PîrvuM
  • 96S. BalaureM
  • 25Tiago GonçalvesM
  • 92T. LuvamboF
Substitutes
  • 31M. SerbanG
  • 6M. TudoseD
  • 18Daniel SanduF
  • 16I. RădescuM
  • 17Ricardo MatosF
  • 19C. MicovschiF
  • 7M. IdowuF
  • 20P. DulceaM
  • 34C. CăbuzG
Coach: Bogdan Andone

Form going into Rapid vs Arges Pitesti

Rapid

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1FC Voluntari12 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Oțelul6 September 2026
  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova31 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 August 2026
  • L0-1Dinamo Bucuresti15 August 2026

Arges Pitesti

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1FC Botosani13 September 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Voluntari7 September 2026
  • L0-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026
  • D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026

What these results say

  • Rapid scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Rapid had two goals or fewer.
  • Arges Pitesti did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Arges Pitesti conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Arges Pitesti had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Rapid159422414+1031
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rapid vs Arges Pitesti

  • 15 May 2026Arges Pitesti 2–2 RapidLiga I
  • 13 April 2026Rapid 0–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 2 December 2025Arges Pitesti 2–1 RapidCupa României
  • 8 November 2025Rapid 2–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 11 July 2025Arges Pitesti 0–2 RapidLiga I

Leading scorers: Rapid and Arges Pitesti

Rapid

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dobre60
  • F. Stojilković41

Arges Pitesti

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid beat Arges Pitesti 3–1. The model had made a win for Rapid its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Constantin Grameni 21' for Rapid, Constantin Grameni 57' for Rapid, Dorinel·Oancea 68' for Arges Pitesti, Andrei Sucu 90+4' for Rapid.

How the call on Rapid v Arges Pitesti has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 12 updates, it read 49% / 29% / 22%: the biggest move is Rapid's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Rapid win49%▲ +2
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Arges Pitesti win22%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.