FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FCSB 2-2 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% FCSB, 28% draw, 34% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FCSB at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Line-ups
- 32Ș. TârnovanuG
- 97R. LabonneD
- 5J. DawaD
- 21D. BatubinsikaD
- 4Ricardo PadurariuD
- 73K. MuharM
- 15O. AradM
- 11D. MiculescuM
- 31J. CisottiM
- 9M. KorenicaM
- 14A. GaritaF
- 2V. CrețuD
- 22M. TomaM
- 34R. UdreaG
- 90A. StoianF
- 28A. BoutoutaouF
- 10D. DrăguşF
- 77L. StancuM
- 8E. GnahoréM
- 18João PauloM
- 38L. ZimaG
- 22M. ȚuțuD
- 24Adam ZaianD
- 71B. MalulaD
- 2A. DumitrescuD
- 8L. VegaM
- 20S. HancaM
- 10A. BranM
- 7Rodrigo MartinsM
- 9D. NlunduluF
- 19Léo TeixeiraF
- 26Liviu ArgeșanuM
- 28M. CostacheM
- 66T. CăpușăD
- 80M. IonițăM
- 99O. DeleM
- 98R. JerdeaF
- 30R. LeescuD
- 29K. LudewigD
- 40R. ManolacheM
Form going into FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti5 September 2026
- L1-3Uta Arad30 August 2026
- L0-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj23 August 2026
- W3-2FC Botosani17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe10 August 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara6 September 2026
- W3-2away to Universitatea Cluj28 August 2026
- L0-2Rapid21 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari14 August 2026
- W1-0Oțelul7 August 2026
What these results say
- FCSB failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Petrolul Ploiesti won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Petrolul Ploiesti scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 21 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti
- 24 April 2026FCSB 3–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 22 November 2025FCSB 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 19 July 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 FCSBLiga I
- 6 February 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 FCSBLiga I
- 21 September 2024FCSB 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
Leading scorers: FCSB and Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Petrolul Ploiesti
GoalsAssists
- A. Bran43
- Rodrigo Martins42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FCSB and Petrolul Ploiesti drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FCSB at 38% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Dan N'Lundulu 3' for Petrolul Ploiesti, Ofri Arad (penalty) 14' for FCSB, Meriton Korenica 24' for FCSB, Breston Malula 66' for Petrolul Ploiesti.
How the call on FCSB v Petrolul Ploiesti has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 38% / 28% / 34%: the biggest move is FCSB's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- FCSB win38%▼ −9
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Petrolul Ploiesti win34%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.