Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Real Salt Lake, 29% draw, 38% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Vancouver Whitecaps at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 26P. QuintonD
- 3K. HenryD
- 12S. LobjanidzeM
- 25C. GuskeM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 22S. SolansF
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 98A. KatranisD
- 29S. JunquaD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 14E. EneliM
- 18T. BoothF
- 11D. MarczukF
- 13J. ShokalookF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18E. OcampoD
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 6R. PrisoD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 59J. BadwalM
- 8O. LarrazM
- 11E. SabbiM
- 13T. MullerM
- 77Y. DiabyM
- 24B. WhiteF
- 32I. BoehmerG
- 3S. AdekugbeD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 14B. CaicedoF
- 25R. GauldM
- 70R. ModestoM
- 23A. CvetkovicM
- 19R. ElloumiF
- 7C. SabalyF
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
All competitions we cover
- L0-2New York City FC13 September 2026
- L1-2away to Houston Dynamo10 September 2026
- D2-2Los Angeles FC6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Orlando City SC22 August 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Austin13 September 2026
- W3-0Los Angeles Galaxy10 September 2026
- L1-3St. Louis City6 September 2026
- W3-0away to Sporting Kansas City30 August 2026
- W5-0FC Dallas23 August 2026
What these results say
- Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Vancouver Whitecaps scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Vancouver Whitecaps had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 22 February 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 25 May 2025Real Salt Lake 2–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 4 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 20 October 2024Real Salt Lake 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans154
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White202
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vancouver Whitecaps won 3–0 at Real Salt Lake. The model had made a win for Vancouver Whitecaps its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: B. White 9' for Vancouver Whitecaps, T. Muller 29' for Vancouver Whitecaps, Y. Diaby 63' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 1.16–2.21.
How the call on Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 36% / 29% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is Real Salt Lake's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Real Salt Lake win33%▼ −3
- Draw29%=
- Vancouver Whitecaps win38%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.