26 July 2026, 03:00 UTC

Santos Laguna vs Atlas Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Corona
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Santos Laguna 0-1 Atlas.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Santos Laguna, 30% draw, 46% Atlas — fair odds of 4.17, 3.33 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Atlas at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

C. Gruezo
30'
45+1'
Gustavo Ferrareis
64'
⚽E. Zaldivar
🔁L. Di Yorioout: D. Gonzalez
65'
66'
🔁Gustavo Ferrareisout: J. Sanchez
69'
🔁A. Rochaout: V. H. Rios De Alba
🔁R. Sordoout: E. Orona
71'
🔁C. Gruezoout: A. Lopez
71'
77'
🔁A. Gonzalezout: L. Esteves
77'
🔁S. Hernandezout: J. Lozano
77'
🔁E. Zaldivarout: P. Ramirez
🔁M. Cuevasout: K. Picon
84'
🔁S. Mariscal Murraout: J. Mancha
84'
F. Villalba
90+8'

Match stats — Santos Laguna vs Atlas

56%Possession44%
11Shots11
1On target5
4Corners5
0.83xG1.12

Goals against chances

Santos Laguna0 from 0.83 xGless than the chances were worth
Atlas1 from 1.12 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Santos Laguna 4-2-3-1
  • 1Carlos AcevedoG
  • 3Mauricio CuevasD
  • 18Franco PardoD
  • 25Felipe SánchezD
  • 17Emmanuel EcheverríaD
  • 8Salvador MariscalM
  • 11Carlos GruezoM
  • 21Fran VillalbaM
  • 10Ezequiel BullaudeM
  • 26Ramiro SordoM
  • 9Lucas Di YorioF
Substitutes
  • 33Hector HolguinG
  • 4José AbellaD
  • 14Efrain OronaM
  • 22Kevin PiconD
  • 15Joshua ManchaM
  • 24Diego MedinaM
  • 5Aldo Lopez VargasM
  • 6Javier GüemezM
  • 19Eduardo AguirreF
Coach: Paiva Renato
Atlas 4-2-3-1
  • 12Camilo VargasG
  • 2Gustavo FerrareisD
  • 28Manuel CapassoD
  • 21Rodrigo SchlegelD
  • 16Milton ValenzuelaD
  • 26Aldo RochaM
  • 6Edgar ZaldívarM
  • 11DukM
  • 58Arturo GonzálezM
  • 23Sergio HernandezM
  • 8Ryan MmaeeF
Substitutes
  • 22Antonio SánchezG
  • 4Adrián MoraD
  • 13Gaddi AguirreD
  • 17Jose LozanoD
  • 3Jorge SánchezD
  • 15Paulo RamírezD
  • 192Jesús SerratoM
  • 27Victor RiosM
  • 10Luís EstevesM
Coach: Hernan Crespo

Form going into Santos Laguna vs Atlas

Santos Laguna

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Monterrey19 July 2026

Atlas

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Leon18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Santos Laguna168172320+325
5Atlas168352730-327

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Santos Laguna vs Atlas

  • 19 April 2026Santos Laguna 0–1 AtlasLiga MX
  • 14 September 2025Atlas 2–2 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 23 February 2025Santos Laguna 2–0 AtlasLiga MX
  • 17 July 2024Atlas 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 5 February 2024Atlas 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX

The full Santos Laguna vs Atlas record →

Leading scorers: Santos Laguna and Atlas

Santos Laguna

GoalsAssists

  • Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez60

Atlas

GoalsAssists

  • F. Monzón51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Atlas won 1–0 at Santos Laguna. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Atlas at 46%. The goal: E. Zaldivar 64' for Atlas. On expected goals it finished 0.83–1.12.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.