25 July 2026, 23:07 UTC

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 FC Juarez.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Guadalajara Chivas, 25% draw, 26% FC Juarez — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Guadalajara Chivas at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
H. Ortega
🔁J. Carrilloout: E. Alvarez
61'
66'
🔁J. Aquinoout: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
66'
🔁Ricardinhoout: J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
66'
🔁H. Ortegaout: Monchu
70'
🔁O. Estupinanout: L. Dupuy
🔁R. Ledezmaout: R. Marin
74'
🔁B. Gutierrezout: K. Castaneda
74'
🔁J. Castilloout: D. Campillo Del Campo
74'
82'
🔁G. Sepulvedaout: Juarez Ricardo
87'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
R. Marin
90'
🔁B. Gonzalezout: J. Perez
90+3'
⚽R. Alvaradoassist: R. Marin
90+6'

Match stats — Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

78%Possession22%
22Shots6
8On target0
19Corners2
1.9xG0.49

Goals against chances

Guadalajara Chivas1 from 1.90 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Juarez0 from 0.49 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
  • 1Raúl RangelG
  • 23Daniel AguirreD
  • 7Luis RomoD
  • 2José CastilloD
  • 28Fernando GonzálezM
  • 37Richard LedezmaM
  • 11Brian GutiérrezM
  • 33Jordan CarrilloM
  • 5Bryan GonzálezM
  • 25Roberto AlvaradoF
  • 34Armando GonzálezF
Substitutes
  • 10Efrain AlvarezF
  • 3Diego CampilloD
  • 19Kevin CastañedaM
  • 17Ricardo MarínF
  • 18Jonathan PerezM
  • 13Óscar WhalleyG
  • 24Miguel GómezD
  • 56Ángel ChávezD
  • 16Luis Gabriel ReyD
Coach: Gabriel Milito
FC Juarez 5-4-1
  • 1Sebastián JuradoG
  • 20Javier AquinoD
  • 2Gilberto SepúlvedaD
  • 3Jesús MurilloD
  • 23Haret OrtegaD
  • 4Alejandro MayorgaD
  • 21RicardinhoM
  • 5Denzell GarciaM
  • 8Guilherme CastilhoM
  • 11José Luis RodríguezM
  • 19Óscar EstupiñánF
Substitutes
  • 33Francisco NevarezD
  • 6MonchuM
  • 10Jairo TorresF
  • 17Luca Martínez DupuyF
  • 198Ricardo JuárezD
  • 27Guillermo RuizG
  • 7Raymundo FulgencioM
  • 25Said GodínezM
  • 201Jan CarmonaM
Coach: Pedro Caixinha

Form going into Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

Guadalajara Chivas

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Toluca19 July 2026

FC Juarez

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Puebla18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Guadalajara Chivas168622615+1130
18FC Juarez1632111334-2111

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

  • 14 January 2026FC Juarez 0–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
  • 16 August 2025Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
  • 16 March 2025FC Juarez 1–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
  • 31 August 2024Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 FC JuarezLiga MX
  • 10 February 2024Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 FC JuarezLiga MX
  • 19 August 2023FC Juarez 1–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX

The full Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez record →

Leading scorers: Guadalajara Chivas and FC Juarez

Guadalajara Chivas

No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.

FC Juarez

GoalsAssists

  • Ó. Estupiñán80

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Guadalajara Chivas beat FC Juarez 1–0. The model had made a win for Guadalajara Chivas its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: R. Alvarado 90+6' for Guadalajara Chivas. On expected goals it finished 1.90–0.49.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.