Sepahan FC
vs
Nassaji Mazandaran
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Sepahan FC 2–0 Nassaji Mazandaran
The model makes it 69% Sepahan FC, 19% draw, 12% Nassaji Mazandaran — fair odds of 1.45, 5.26 and 8.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Sepahan FC 2.45, Nassaji Mazandaran 0.73.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Sepahan FC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Sepahan FC's rating is built from 34 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and Nassaji Mazandaran's from 12, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Sepahan FC are top on 26 points from 12 games; Nassaji Mazandaran are 12th on 12 points from 12 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Sepahan FC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 4-0 win at home to Malavan.
- Nassaji Mazandaran have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Paykan.
- Last 6 meetings: Sepahan FC 2 wins to 0, 4 draws; the most recent, 13 March 2025, ended Nassaji Mazandaran 1–1 Sepahan FC.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sepahan FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran
Has the model earned this number?
Sepahan FC at 69%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sepahan FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran
Sepahan FC
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W4-0Malavan6 November 2026
- W2-1away to Kheybar Khorramabad30 October 2026
- W4-0Mes Shahr-e Babak25 October 2026
- D0-0away to Shams Azar Qazvin18 October 2026
- W2-1away to ZOB Ahan13 October 2026
Nassaji Mazandaran
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D1-1away to Paykan7 November 2026
- L0-1Persepolis FC31 October 2026
- D2-2Fajr Sepasi25 October 2026
- D0-0away to Foolad FC18 October 2026
- D1-1ZOB Ahan8 October 2026
What these results say
- Sepahan FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Sepahan FC won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sepahan FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nassaji Mazandaran did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Nassaji Mazandaran conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Nassaji Mazandaran had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sepahan FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 26 |
| 12 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Sepahan FC
Chance to finish in the top two · 65% today
Nassaji Mazandaran
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 25% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Sepahan FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran
- 13 March 2025Nassaji Mazandaran 1–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 9 November 2024Sepahan FC 1–1 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
- 12 April 2024Sepahan FC 0–0 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
- 29 October 2023Nassaji Mazandaran 1–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 26 January 2023Nassaji Mazandaran 0–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 18 August 2022Sepahan FC 2–1 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sepahan FC a 38.6% chance of the title and Nassaji Mazandaran 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sepahan FC the highest probability at 69%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.45 expected goals for Sepahan FC against 0.73 for Nassaji Mazandaran. Sepahan FC's attack/defence rating is 0.94/1.19 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.6 for Nassaji Mazandaran.
How the model reaches 69% for Sepahan FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Sepahan FC to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Sepahan FC's ratings add 14 points and Nassaji Mazandaran's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 69%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Sepahan FC's ratings58%+14
- Nassaji Mazandaran's ratings69%+11
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sepahan FC at home · Nassaji Mazandaran away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Sepahan FC 12, Nassaji Mazandaran 12.
Sepahan FC score most often in the 0–15 minute window (7 goals); Nassaji Mazandaran have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Sepahan FC
- at Persepolis FC4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 36%
- vs Aluminium Arak17 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 65%
- at Paykan24 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 52%
Nassaji Mazandaran
- vs Chadormalu SC4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Tractor Sazi17 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Sanat Naft25 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 48%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.