2 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav Czech Liga prediction & result

Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Mlada Boleslav.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Sigma Olomouc, 23% draw, 26% Mlada Boleslav — fair odds of 1.96, 4.35 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sigma Olomouc at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sigma Olomouc6%Draw90%Mlada Boleslav4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽S. Johnassist: J. Klima
⚽D. Tkacassist: D. Janosek
34'
🔁S. Noumbissieout: J. Sip
53'
67'
🔁J. Klimaout: L. Letenay
67'
🔁D. Langhamerout: F. Spatenka
67'
🔁J. Kolarikout: M. Subert
🔁D. Janosekout: M. Soldo
68'
🔁D. Tkacout: J. Dembe
68'
81'
⚽M. Subertassist: S. John
86'
Solomon John
🔁A. Ghaliout: M. Mikulenka
86'
⚽V. Sejk
87'
90+3'
🔁S. Johnout: J. Buryan

Match stats — Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav

52%Possession48%
18Shots11
8On target5
8Corners6
2.48xG1.08

Goals against chances

Sigma Olomouc2 from 2.48 xGabout what the chances were worth
Mlada Boleslav2 from 1.08 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3
  • 91J. KoutnyG
  • 2A. SyllaD
  • 21J. KralD
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 88P. BarathM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 26S. NoumbissieM
  • 39D. JanosekF
  • 10V. SejkF
  • 24D. TkacF
Substitutes
  • 98M. HruskaG
  • 33M. MalyD
  • 14M. SoldoM
  • 20D. GrgicM
  • 18J. FialaF
  • 80V. ZahradnicekM
  • 17J. DembeF
  • 19D. Barat
  • 8J. SpacilM
Coach: Pavel Hapal
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
  • 59J. FloderG
  • 13D. DonatD
  • 44O. KarafiatD
  • 3M. KralikD
  • 11M. HybsD
  • 19D. KozelM
  • 76J. Zika
  • 20S. JohnM
  • 28D. LanghamerM
  • 49J. KolarikM
  • 23J. KlimaF
Substitutes
  • 42V. VorelG
  • 9L. LetenayF
  • 70J. BuryanF
  • 24D. MaresD
  • 17F. SpatenkaF
  • 15N. PennerM
  • 21M. Subert
  • 26M. ZachovalD
  • 5J. HarustakD
Coach: Ales Majer

Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav

Sigma Olomouc

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026

Mlada Boleslav

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2away to Artis27 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Sigma Olomouc147342220+224
3Mlada Boleslav147432215+725

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav

  • 4 April 2026Sigma Olomouc 2–4 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 2 November 2025Mlada Boleslav 1–4 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 15 December 2024Mlada Boleslav 1–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 18 August 2024Sigma Olomouc 3–2 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 16 March 2024Mlada Boleslav 2–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Mlada Boleslav

Sigma Olomouc

GoalsAssists

  • V. Sejk63
  • A. Ghali42

Mlada Boleslav

GoalsAssists

  • M. Šubert71
  • J. Klíma41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sigma Olomouc and Mlada Boleslav drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Sigma Olomouc at 51% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. John 10' for Mlada Boleslav, D. Tkac 34' for Sigma Olomouc, M. Subert 81' for Mlada Boleslav, V. Sejk 87' for Sigma Olomouc. On expected goals it finished 2.48–1.08.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.