Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Plzen 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Plzen, 21% draw, 29% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.00, 4.76 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Plzen at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 44Florian WiegeleG
- 98Filip PrebslD
- 37Dávid KrčíkD
- 40Sampson DwehD
- 5Karel SpáčilD
- 36Stefan PirgićM
- 17Patrik HrošovskýM
- 99Amar MemićM
- 12Alexandr SojkaM
- 25Christophe KabongoM
- 11Matěj VydraF
- 18Tomáš LadraF
- 7Salim Fago LawalF
- 6Lukáš ČervM
- 9Denis VišinskýM
- 19Cheick SouaréM
- 1Dominik ŤapajG
- 14Merchas DoskiD
- 66Sebastian BoháčM
- 10Mohamed ToureF
- 1Adam HrdinaG
- 39Jakub KlímaD
- 26Filip VedralD
- 3Kauan Carneiro KakaD
- 44Amadou DanteD
- 6Lukas PenxaM
- 68Jakub JanetzkýM
- 20Lukáš SaalM
- 14Tadeáš VachoušekM
- 77Lucky EzehF
- 15Daniel VašulínF
- 23Petr ŠevčíkM
- 10Antonin VanicekM
- 11Martin RymarenkoF
- 9Oliver VelichF
- 17Jaromír ZmrhalM
- 24Dominik SváčekG
- 4Eric HunalD
- 29Patrik ŽitnýM
- 19Bienvenue KanakimanaF
Form going into Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno
Plzen
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Sparta Praha25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Plzen | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno
- 5 February 2023Zbrojovka Brno 1–3 PlzenCzech Liga
- 9 November 2022Plzen 4–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 19 January 2022Plzen 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2021Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 PlzenCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Plzen and Zbrojovka Brno
Plzen
GoalsAssists
- C. Kabongo50
- A. Memić46
Zbrojovka Brno
GoalsAssists
- D. Vašulín50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Plzen and Zbrojovka Brno drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Plzen at 50% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Christophe Kabongo 14' for Plzen, Daniel Vašulín 58' for Zbrojovka Brno. On expected goals it finished 0.80–0.62.