Czech Liga predictions & fixtures

Saturday 21 November — 5 matches

14:00 UTC Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin — model 59% / 24% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.17 · 5.88. One-sided: Mlada Boleslav
14:00 UTC Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha — model 17% / 22% / 61%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.88 · 4.55 · 1.64. One-sided: Slavia Praha
14:00 UTC Baník Ostrava vs Teplice — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56. Edge: Teplice
14:00 UTC Artis vs FK Jablonec — model 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.70 · 2.44. Edge: FK Jablonec
17:00 UTC Bohemians 1905 vs Plzen — model 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.57 · 2.22. Edge: Plzen

Sunday 22 November — 3 matches

12:00 UTC Pardubice vs Zbrojovka Brno — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17. Edge: Pardubice
14:00 UTC Slovácko vs Hradec Králové — model 28% / 28% / 44%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.57 · 3.57 · 2.27. Edge: Hradec Králové
17:00 UTC Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec — model 50% / 29% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.45 · 4.76. Edge: Sparta Praha

Friday 27 November — 1 match

17:00 UTC Artis vs Slovácko — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach

Saturday 28 November — 3 matches

14:00 UTC Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc — model 44% / 27% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.70 · 3.45. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Teplice vs Slovan Liberec — model 33% / 31% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.23 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
17:00 UTC Hradec Králové vs Bohemians 1905 — model 41% / 31% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.23 · 3.57. Evenly matched

Sunday 29 November — 4 matches

12:00 UTC Slavia Praha vs Baník Ostrava — model 77% / 16% / 7%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.30 · 6.25 · 14.29. One-sided: Slavia Praha
14:00 UTC FK Jablonec vs Pardubice — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Zbrojovka Brno vs Plzen — model 22% / 23% / 55%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.55 · 4.35 · 1.82. One-sided: Plzen
17:00 UTC Zlin vs Sparta Praha — model 14% / 21% / 65%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 7.14 · 4.76 · 1.54. One-sided: Sparta Praha

Last round: the model's hits and misses

7–8 November: the model called the result of 2 of 8 matches, 1 of them to the exact score. Across all 111 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 51% of results.

Hradec Králové 5–0 Sigma Olomouc — the model said 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Slovan Liberec 1–0 Bohemians 1905 — the model said 40% / 33% / 27%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
Zlin 0–1 Slovácko — the model said 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Zbrojovka Brno 1–3 Baník Ostrava — the model said 46% / 28% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Teplice 1–4 Pardubice — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
FK Jablonec 0–0 Mlada Boleslav — the model said 33% / 27% / 40%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
Slavia Praha 4–1 Artis — the model said 82% / 12% / 6%, most likely 3-0: result correct.
Plzen 1–1 Sparta Praha — the model said 36% / 26% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result missed.

Czech Liga so far

Top of the table

1. Slavia Praha — 34 pts from 14 (10W 4D 0L, goals 36–8)
2. Slovan Liberec — 26 pts from 13 (8W 2D 3L, goals 16–8)
3. Mlada Boleslav — 25 pts from 14 (7W 4D 3L, goals 22–15)
4. Sparta Praha — 24 pts from 14 (7W 3D 4L, goals 26–14)
5. Sigma Olomouc — 24 pts from 14 (7W 3D 4L, goals 22–20)

The model's chance of finishing first in the regular season, from 10,000 simulations of the 129 matches left: Slavia Praha 95.8%, Sparta Praha 2.6%, Slovan Liberec 0.6%.

Leading scorers: M. Šubert (Mlada Boleslav) 7 goals, J. Braut Brunes (Sparta Praha) 6 goals, V. Sejk (Sigma Olomouc) 6 goals.