21 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Spaeri vs Dila Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Spaeri 1-4 Dila.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Spaeri, 27% draw, 37% Dila — fair odds of 2.78, 3.70 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dila at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Spaeri0%Draw1%Dila99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Tsalughelashviliassist: G. Tsirdava
11'
22'
⚽S. Shekiladzeassist: L. Menteshashvili
31'
⚽M. Kanteassist: S. Shekiladze
43'
⚽L. Menteshashviliassist: O. Parulava
45'
⚽M. Kante
🔁N. Kentchadzeout: L. Kachibaia
46'
🔁T. Tsalughelashviliout: Z. Golubiani
46'
🔁G. Tsetskhladzeout: B. Jibril
46'
70'
🔁S. Shekiladzeout: B. Gogoberishvili
77'
🔁O. Parulavaout: Z. Museliani
N. Chagunava
79'
🔁S. Gegiadzeout: R. Injgia
80'
🔁G. Tsirdavaout: Z. Basilashvili
80'
88'
🔁M. Kanteout: G. Kobakhidze
88'
🔁L. Menteshashviliout: S. Beruashvili

Line-ups

Spaeri
  • 1B. Putkaradze
  • 22N. Chagunava
  • 20N. Kentchadze
  • 4G. Grigalashvili
  • 13S. Mathenjwa
  • 6T. Askurava
  • 5T. Tsalughelashvili
  • 19G. Tsirdava
  • 17L. Kokhreidze
  • 7S. Gegiadze
  • 9G. Tsetskhladze
Substitutes
  • 2G. Pirtakhia
  • 3L. Kachibaia
  • 16S. Dzneladze
  • 21O. Gordeziani
  • 23N. Chomakhidze
  • 24Z. Golubiani
  • 25R. Injgia
  • 26B. Jibril
  • 30Z. Basilashvili
Coach: Anzor Kighuradze
Dila
  • 1D. Kereselidze
  • 33R. Etou
  • 25L. Yarbrough
  • 5M. N. Puketi
  • 14G. Jalaghonia
  • 17B. Anoff
  • 8L. Menteshashvili
  • 24M. Diouf
  • 10O. Parulava
  • 22S. Shekiladze
  • 9M. Kante
Substitutes
  • 12L. Sanikidze
  • 15G. Kobakhidze
  • 19B. Gogoberishvili
  • 21Z. Museliani
  • 36S. Beruashvili
Coach: Levan Korghalidze

Form going into Spaeri vs Dila

Spaeri

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to FC Iberia 199913 September 2026
  • D1-1Rustavi9 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Meshakhte5 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Dinamo Batumi30 August 2026

Dila

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to FC Iberia 199917 September 2026
  • D2-2Dinamo Batumi13 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Samgurali9 September 2026
  • W1-0Gagra5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Dinamo Tbilisi31 August 2026

What these results say

  • Spaeri did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Spaeri conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dila scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dila conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Dila had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Spaeri32613134151-1031
6Dila32124164141040

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spaeri vs Dila

  • 16 June 2026Dila 3–1 SpaeriErovnuli Liga
  • 26 April 2026Spaeri 0–1 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 23 September 2025Spaeri 1–2 DilaDavid Kipiani Cup
  • 2 July 2025Dila 2–0 SpaeriSuper Cup
  • 19 September 2020Spaeri 0–2 DilaDavid Kipiani Cup

The result against the call

Dila won 4–1 at Spaeri. The model had made a win for Dila its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: T. Tsalughelashvili 11' for Spaeri, S. Shekiladze 22' for Dila, M. Kante 31' for Dila, L. Menteshashvili 43' for Dila, M. Kante 45' for Dila.

How the call on Spaeri v Dila has moved

First published on 7 Sep at 31% / 27% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 36% / 27% / 37%: the biggest move is Spaeri's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Spaeri win36%▲ +5
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Dila win37%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.