CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: CF Pachuca 2-2 Club Tijuana.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% CF Pachuca, 29% draw, 28% Club Tijuana — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
CF Pachuca at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
Line-ups
- 25C. MorenoG
- 14C. SánchezD
- 4Eduardo BauermannD
- 2S. BarretoD
- 15F. VenegasD
- 30S. RodríguezM
- 16C. RiveraM
- 26Alán Ernesto Bautista GutiérrezM
- 7R. PizarroM
- 11O. IdrissiM
- 23S. RondónF
- 31J. EulogioG
- 206Thomas ContrerasM
- 32P. BudibD
- 9A. AlcárazF
- 211C. HernandezF
- 6M. IsaísD
- 221Ulises Natanael Martínez ReynosoD
- 12S. SantosM
- 21N. VallejoF
- 2A. RodríguezG
- 17R. ÁrcigaD
- 12J. PorozoD
- 4Unai BilbaoD
- 6A. GómezD
- 16J. VegaD
- 7Adonis PreciadoM
- 20Á. ZapataM
- 8I. TonaM
- 10G. MoraM
- 9MouradF
- 19D. AbreuF
- 34F. BoyaM
- 202J. GonzálezF
- 11F. GonzálezF
- 29S. HernándezG
- 188A. MagallonD
- 33P. OrtízD
- 31Y. PadillaF
- 26A. PerezM
Form going into CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Atlante FC12 September 2026
- W2-0away to FC Juarez5 September 2026
- D1-1Guadalajara Chivas29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Atletico San Luis23 August 2026
- L2-3Puebla18 August 2026
Club Tijuana
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Club Queretaro12 September 2026
- W2-0Pumas UNAM29 August 2026
- L2-5away to Guadalajara Chivas22 August 2026
- W2-1Cruz Azul17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico San Luis1 August 2026
What these results say
- CF Pachuca scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
- 23 April 2026Club Tijuana 3–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 17 August 2025CF Pachuca 0–2 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 17 March 2025CF Pachuca 4–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 5 October 2024Club Tijuana 2–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 4 February 2024CF Pachuca 3–2 Club TijuanaLiga MX
Leading scorers: CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
GoalsAssists
- S. Rondón162
Club Tijuana
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for CF Pachuca at 43% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Gilberto Mora (penalty) 17' for Club Tijuana, Jesus Gomez 42' for Club Tijuana, Salomón Rondón 55' for CF Pachuca, Salomón Rondón 90' for CF Pachuca. Sent off: Benjamín Mora Mendívil (CF Pachuca) 90+1'.
How the call on CF Pachuca v Club Tijuana has moved
First published on 7 Sep at 35% / 29% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is CF Pachuca's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- CF Pachuca win43%▲ +8
- Draw29%=
- Club Tijuana win28%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.