Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 1-3 Velez Sarsfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Talleres Cordoba, 25% draw, 28% Velez Sarsfield — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Talleres Cordoba at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32Ezequiel UnsaínG
- 20Augusto SchottD
- 44Santiago FernandezD
- 13Valentín FascendiniD
- 2Timoteo ChamorroM
- 8Federico FattoriM
- 5Matias GalarzaM
- 23Gabriel BáezM
- 19Franco CristaldoF
- 37RickF
- 77Ronaldo MartinezF
- 36Emiliano ChiavassaF
- 11Valentin DepietriF
- 99Bruno BarticciottoF
- 28Alex VigoD
- 49Valentin DavilaF
- 1Santino BarbiG
- 25Thiago BaroniM
- 35Gonzalo NuccioD
- 10Giovanni BaroniM
- 1Tomás MarchioriG
- 4Joaquín GarcíaD
- 32Thiago SilveroD
- 16Lisandro MagallánD
- 3Elías GómezD
- 29Rodrigo AliendroM
- 5Claudio BaezaM
- 48Luca FelerM
- 11Matías PellegriniM
- 22Manuel LanziniM
- 15Dilan GodoyF
- 39Thiago AguirreF
- 18Simon EscobarD
- 8Lucas RobertoneM
- 2Emanuel MammanaD
- 10Diego ValdésM
- 34Alvaro BussoG
- 42Agustin CortezG
- 47Alexis PereyraD
- 19Leo CristaldoD
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
Velez Sarsfield
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Instituto Cordoba24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
- 27 January 2026Velez Sarsfield 2–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 November 2025Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 April 2025Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 July 2024Velez Sarsfield 3–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 March 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Velez SarsfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 5 November 2023Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Talleres CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Talleres Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Velez Sarsfield
GoalsAssists
- R. Martínez132
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Velez Sarsfield won 3–1 at Talleres Cordoba. The model had leaned towards a win for Talleres Cordoba at 47% and given a win for Velez Sarsfield 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ronaldo Martinez 27' for Talleres Cordoba, Rodrigo Aliendro 45' for Velez Sarsfield, Thiago Silvero 79' for Velez Sarsfield, Diego Valdés 90' for Velez Sarsfield. On expected goals it finished 1.77–1.14.