29 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-2 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Universitatea Craiova, 29% draw, 32% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova (22 Jul) →

Levski Sofia went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Craiova at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Universitatea Craiova4%Draw93%Levski Sofia3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
Nikola Serafimov
13'
⚽Everton Balaassist: Serginho
16'
⚽Aldairassist: Everton Bala
26'
Aldair
Ștefan Baiaram
33'
⚽Nicușor Bancuassist: David Matei
45+2'
45+3'
Maicon
46'
🔁Aldairout: Álex Centelles
46'
🔁Nikola Serafimovout: Christian Makoun
⚽Adrian Rus
48'
55'
Akram Bouras
55'
🔁Armstrong Oko-Flexout: Mazire Soula
🔁Carlos Moraout: Samuel Teles
59'
🔁Ștefan Baiaramout: Monday Etim
59'
🔁Nikola Stevanovićout: Tudor Băluță
67'
🔁Anzor Mekvabishviliout: Simon Elisor
77'
🔁David Mateiout: Heriberto Tavares
77'
77'
🔁Everton Balaout: Gašper Trdin
87'
🔁Reinaldoout: Juan Perea
Adrian Rus
88'

Line-ups

Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
  • 28Adrian RusD
  • 24Nikola StevanovićD
  • 6Vladimir ScreciuD
  • 17Carlos MoraM
  • 5Anzor MekvabishviliM
  • 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
  • 11Nicușor BancuM
  • 30David MateiM
  • 7Steven NsimbaF
  • 10Ștefan BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 23Samuel TelesM
  • 12Monday EtimF
  • 8Tudor BăluțăM
  • 19Heriberto TavaresF
  • 22Simon ElisorF
  • 1Alexandru MaximG
  • 90Răzvan SavaG
  • 15Juraj BadeljD
  • 4Alexandru CrețuM
Coach: Filipe Coelho
Levski Sofia 4-3-3
  • 92Svetoslav VutsovG
  • 21AldairD
  • 50Kristian DimitrovD
  • 31Nikola SerafimovD
  • 3MaiconD
  • 47Akram BourasM
  • 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 17Everton BalaM
Substitutes
  • 4Christian MakounD
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 22Mazire SoulaM
  • 18Gašper TrdinM
  • 9Juan PereaF
  • 1Ognyan VladimirovG
  • 78Martin LukovG
  • 10Asen Ivanov MitkovM
  • 27David KussoM
Coach: Julio Velazquez

Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions we cover

  • L1-5away to Dinamo Bucuresti25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Levski Sofia22 July 2026
  • W4-0Uta Arad18 July 2026

Levski Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia25 July 2026
  • W1-0Universitatea Craiova22 July 2026
  • W2-1Dunav Ruse17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia

  • 22 July 2026Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Universitatea Craiova and Levski Sofia drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Craiova at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Everton Bala 13' for Levski Sofia, Aldair 16' for Levski Sofia, Nicușor Bancu 45+2' for Universitatea Craiova, Adrian Rus 48' for Universitatea Craiova.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.